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31.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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USA. USL
Miami FC - Detroit City
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:
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Not started
D
Detroit City
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Miami FC — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Miami FC): model 38% · market 25% Δ +13 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Miami FC 50.5%, draw 20.9%, win Detroit City 28.7%. Model favourite — Miami FC.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Miami FC (odds1.98)
Score 2:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Mayami: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Miami FC - Detroit City July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Detroit City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.70 / X 3.60 / 2 1.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.4%
1
25.2%
X
25.9%
2
49.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
USL ChampionshipLeague table
Miami FC
ARRAY
Detroit City
ARRAY
Best price
across 11 books
1
3.76
Pinnacle
X
3.55
Pinnacle
2
1.92
Unibet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Miami FC
W-D-L 2-3-5
Scored 1.20
Conceded 1.70
xG 1.12
xGA 1.79
Detroit City
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.60
Conceded 1.10
xG 1.50
xGA 1.15
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Miami FC
Rating 1459
xG 0.93
Win 24%
Detroit City
Rating 1536
xG 1.49
Win 50%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Miami FC - Detroit City
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Miami FC
-
50.5%
model pick
Draw
-
20.9%
draw risk
Detroit City
-
28.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
50.5% / 20.9% / 28.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,534 / 1,660
Miami / Detroyt
RD
132 / 157
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,271-1,798 / 1,345-1,974
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.88
market consensus · no value · model 28.7%
X
3.55
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.70
market consensus · weak value +86.7% · model 50.5%
Double chance
12
1.24
market consensus · no value · model 79.1%
1X
1.79
market consensus · value +27.7% · model 71.3%
X2
1.22
market consensus · no value · model 49.5%
Handicap
2 -1
2.60
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.40
market consensus · line only
1 +1
1.43
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.75
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.87
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% |
| x2 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 69.9% | — | |
| — | 2.75 36.4% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | — | |
| — | 1.40 71.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.81 55.3% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.90 52.6% |
Match center
Miami FC
L
L
W
D
D
Miami FC
2:3
Tampa Bey
Tampa Bey
Miami FC
0:2
Kolorado Springs
Miami FC
2:0
Indi Eleven
Indi Eleven
Miami FC
1:1
Birmingem
Miami FC
0:0
Oklend Ruts
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
5
Points
Detroit City
L
W
W
W
D
Detroit City
0:1
Las Vegas Layts
Las Vegas Layts
Detroit City
2:0
Indi Eleven
Indi Eleven
Detroit City
2:1
Birmingem
Detroit City
6:2
Sporting Jax
Sporting Jax
Detroit City
1:1
El-Paso Lokomotiv
El-Paso Lokomotiv
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMiami FC - Detroit City
Miami FC
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Miami FC - Detroit City breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form