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USA. USL
USA. USL
11.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Monterey Bey - Sporting Jax

Football
M
Monterey Bey
2 : 1
Finished
Sporting Jax
Sporting Jax

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monterey Bey - Sporting Jax June 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monterey Bey.

Line favourite market consensus: Monterey Bey. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.77 / 2 4.25
  • 1X2 market: Monterey Bey 54.3% / X 24.3% / Sporting Jax 21.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 54.3%
X 24.2%
2 21.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Monterey Bey
#1211 ptsGP 123-2-713:20
Sporting Jax
#133 ptsGP 120-3-913:28
Best price across 12 books
1 1.70 Dafabet
X 4.29 Pinnacle
2 4.50 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Monterey Bey
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.11 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.10 xGA 1.53
1 -5.25 X -3.67 2 +1.99 1 (DNB) -4.44
Sporting Jax
W-D-L 0-3-7 Scored 1.21 Conceded 2.30 xG 1.02 xGA 1.77
1 -10.00 X +0.46 2 +1.93 1 (DNB) -7.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Monterey Bey
Rating 1367
Sporting Jax
Rating 1319

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Monterey Bey - Sporting Jax

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.26 market consensus · line only
X 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.12 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.80 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.78 26.5% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3%
4.20 23.8% 4.31 23.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.25 80.0%
yes 3.30 30.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.12 89.3%
x2 6.10 16.4%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
7.10 14.1%
6.10 16.4%
10.00 10.0%
1.38 72.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.05 95.2%
1.08 92.6%
1.02 98.0%
2.80 35.7%
Match center
Sporting Jax
D
31.05 16:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sporting Jax 2:2 Brooklyn
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points