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USA. USL
USA. USL
31.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

USA. USL

New Mexico United - Colorado Springs

Football
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
- : -
Not started
C
Colorado Springs
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 New Mexico United66%

Pure model vs market (1 · New Mexico United): model 48% · market 34% Δ +14 pp model estimates above the market

1 · New Mexico United ✓ Pick65.7%
market34%
X · draw18.2%
market26%
2 · Colorado Springs16.1%
market39%

Model estimate: win New Mexico United 65.7%, draw 18.2%, win Colorado Springs 16.1%. Model favourite — New Mexico United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1New Mexico United (odds1.86) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Nyu-Meksiko: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New Mexico United - Colorado Springs July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Colorado Springs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.50 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 34.2%
X 26.4%
2 39.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
New Mexico United
#924 ptsGP 147-3-419:15
ARRAY
Colorado Springs
#825 ptsGP 167-4-528:23
ARRAY
Best price across 11 books
1 2.85 Pinnacle
X 3.55 Dafabet
2 2.43 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
New Mexico United
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.41 Conceded 0.99 xG 1.34 xGA 1.53
Colorado Springs
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.65 xGA 1.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
New Mexico United
Rating 1569 xG 1.10 Win 29%
Colorado Springs
Rating 1520 xG 1.46 Win 45%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

New Mexico United - Colorado Springs

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
New Mexico United - 65.7% model pick
Draw - 18.2% draw risk
Colorado Springs - 16.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 65.7% / 18.2% / 16.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,891 / 1,798 New Mexico United / Colorado Springs Switchbacks
RD 185 / 165 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,522-2,260 / 1,467-2,128 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 market consensus · no value · model 16.1%
X 3.50 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.70 market consensus · weak value +77.4% · model 65.7%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus · weak value +3.1% · model 81.8%
1X 1.53 market consensus · value +28.4% · model 83.9%
X2 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 34.3%
Handicap
2 0 1.72 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.53 65.4%
x2 1.41 70.9%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
2.00 50.0%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
2.70 37.0%
X 3.50 28.6%
2.35 42.6%
Match center
New Mexico United
W W D
15.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
New Mexico United 4:1 LexingtonLexington
04.07 23:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
New Mexico United 2:1 Oklend Ruts
13.06 23:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
New Mexico United 1:1 Oranzh Kaunti SK
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Colorado Springs
W W W L
25.07 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Colorado Springs 2:1 Charlston
22.07 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Colorado Springs 2:0 MayamiMayami
04.07 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Colorado Springs 3:1 Finiks RayzingFiniks Rayzing
13.06 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Colorado Springs 0:1 Sakramento RepablikSakramento Repablik
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points