Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
USA. USL
USA. USL
13.06.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

New Mexico United - Oranzh Kaunti SK

Football
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
1 : 1
Finished
O
Oranzh Kaunti SK

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New Mexico United - Oranzh Kaunti SK June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like New Mexico United.

Line favourite market consensus: New Mexico United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.57 / 2 3.64
  • 1X2 market: New Mexico United 49.3% / X 25.6% / Oranzh Kaunti SK 25.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 49.3%
X 25.6%
2 25.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
New Mexico United
#914 ptsGP 104-2-411:12
DWLWD
Oranzh Kaunti SK
#219 ptsGP 115-4-214:10
WDLDW
Best price across 12 books
1 1.92 Pinnacle
X 3.80 Pinnacle
2 3.73 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
New Mexico United
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.33 xGA 1.46
1 -0.02 X -3.00 2 -1.34 1 (DNB) -0.49
Oranzh Kaunti SK
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.31 Conceded 0.91 xG 1.14 xGA 1.40
1 +5.47 X +0.20 2 -5.17 1 (DNB) +4.87

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
New Mexico United
Rating 1532
Oranzh Kaunti SK
Rating 1568

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 13.06.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

New Mexico United - Oranzh Kaunti SK

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.40 Fonbet · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
3.65 27.4% 3.66 27.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.15 31.8%
1x 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.12 89.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.60 62.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.75 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.0 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.25 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1%
Over 2.75 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.0 2.24 44.6%
Over 3.25 2.52 39.7%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1%