USA. USL
New Mexico United meet Colorado Springs on August 2, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): New Mexico United 2-1-0, Colorado Springs 3-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Colorado Springs — 39%
Pure model vs market (2 · Colorado Springs): model 29% · market 40% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win New Mexico United 35.0%, draw 26.3%, win Colorado Springs 38.7%. Model favourite — Colorado Springs.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.41 70.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.34 29.9% | |
| X | 2.31 43.3% |
| 2.87 34.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.10 47.6% |
New Mexico United
Lexington
Mayami
Finiks Rayzing
Sakramento Repablik
Full head-to-head historyNew Mexico United - Colorado Springs
The New Mexico United - Colorado Springs breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
