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01.08.2026 00:00 UTC
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01.08.2026 00:00 UTC
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USA. USL
Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive
O
Orange County SC
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Orange County SC — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · Orange County SC): model 45% · market 43% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Orange County SC 46.1%, draw 21.4%, win El Paso Locomotive 32.5%. Model favourite — Orange County SC.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Orange County SC (odds2.20)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Oranzh Kaunti SK: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Orange County SC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 3.60 / 2 3.08
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
42.7%
X
26.4%
2
30.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
USL ChampionshipLeague table
Orange County SC
ARRAY
El Paso Locomotive
ARRAY
Best price
across 10 books
1
2.43
Unibet
X
3.64
Pinnacle
2
2.95
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Orange County SC
W-D-L 4-5-1
Scored 2.00
Conceded 1.60
xG 1.12
xGA 1.56
El Paso Locomotive
W-D-L 2-3-5
Scored 1.10
Conceded 1.69
xG 1.56
xGA 1.45
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Orange County SC
Rating 1585
xG 1.37
Win 41%
El Paso Locomotive
Rating 1473
xG 1.19
Win 33%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Orange County SC
42.0%
46.1%
market and model agree
Draw
25.6%
21.4%
draw risk
El Paso Locomotive
32.4%
32.5%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
46.1% / 21.4% / 32.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,521 / 1,477
Orange County / El Paso Locomotive
RD
172 / 153
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,177-1,864 / 1,172-1,782
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.94
market consensus · no value · model 32.5%
X
3.53
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.19
market consensus · no value · model 46.1%
Double chance
12
1.24
market consensus · no value · model 78.6%
1X
1.35
market consensus · no value · model 67.5%
X2
1.59
market consensus · no value · model 53.9%
Handicap
2 0
2.15
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.62
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.74
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.18
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.18 45.9% |
| yes | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.32 75.8% | 1.37 73.0% |
| x2 | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.81 35.6% | |
| X | 2.27 44.1% |
| 3.54 28.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
Match center
Orange County SC
W
D
D
D
Orange County SC
2:1
Monterey Bey
Orange County SC
2:2
Khartford Atletik
Khartford Atletik
Orange County SC
1:1
Rod Aylend
Rod Aylend
Orange County SC
1:1
Nyu-Meksiko
Nyu-Meksiko
1
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.3
Conceded
6
Points
El Paso Locomotive
W
L
W
D
D
El Paso Locomotive
2:0
Sporting Jax
Sporting Jax
El Paso Locomotive
0:1
Talsa
Talsa
El Paso Locomotive
2:1
Las Vegas Layts
Las Vegas Layts
El Paso Locomotive
1:1
Finiks Rayzing
Finiks Rayzing
El Paso Locomotive
1:1
Detroyt
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyOrange County SC - El Paso Locomotive
Orange County SC
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form