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USA. USL
USA. USL
11.06.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Phoenix Rising - Louisville City

Football
Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising
0 : 2
Finished
Louisville City
Louisville City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Rising - Louisville City June 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Louisville City.

Line favourite market consensus: Louisville City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.26 / X 3.47 / 2 2.00
  • 1X2 market: Phoenix Rising 28.1% / X 26.3% / Louisville City 45.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 28.0%
X 26.3%
2 45.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Phoenix Rising
#516 ptsGP 124-4-415:14
Louisville City
#220 ptsGP 136-2-522:20
Best price across 13 books
1 3.08 Pinnacle
X 3.66 Pinnacle
2 2.24 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Phoenix Rising
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.20 xGA 1.38
1 +1.35 X +3.27 2 -6.68 1 (DNB) +2.58
Louisville City
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.84 xGA 0.94
1 -5.58 X -2.70 2 +11.50 1 (DNB) -4.47

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Phoenix Rising
Rating 1552
Louisville City
Rating 1497

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Phoenix Rising - Louisville City

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 3.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 0 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.20 31.3% 3.26 30.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.44 29.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1%
1x 10.00 10.0%
x2 1.07 93.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
8.50 11.8%
1.13 88.5%
1.01 99.0%
6.70 14.9%
10.50 9.5%
5.50 18.2%
1.03 97.1%
4.80 20.8%
12.00 8.3%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.10 90.9%
Match center
Louisville City
D
03.06 22:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Louisville City 1:1 Birmingem
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points