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28.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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28.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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USA. USL
Pittsburg - Tulsa
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Pittsburg — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Pittsburg): model 50% · market 48% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Pittsburg 48.3%, draw 27.5%, win Tulsa 24.2%. Model favourite — Pittsburg.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Pittsburg (odds1.85)
Score 2:1
confidence 54%
- • Model backs Pittsburg: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Pittsburg - Tulsa July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pittsburg.
Line favourite market consensus: Pittsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.26 / 2 3.73
- 1X2 market: Pittsburg 47.6% / X 27.9% / Tulsa 24.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.8%
1
47.7%
X
27.9%
2
24.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Pittsburg 48%
💹 Market
Pittsburg 4760%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Pittsburg - Tulsa
Form
5/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Pittsburg
48.2%
48.3%
market and model agree
Draw
27.8%
27.5%
draw risk
Tulsa
24.0%
24.2%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
48.3% / 27.5% / 24.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,543 / 1,392
Pittsburg / Tulsa
RD
165 / 171
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,214-1,872 / 1,051-1,734
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.73
market consensus · no value · model 24.2%
X
3.27
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.91
market consensus · no value · model 48.3%
Double chance
12
1.26
market consensus · no value · model 72.5%
1X
1.21
market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
X2
1.78
market consensus · no value · model 51.7%
Handicap
2 +1
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 0
2.78
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.80
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.39
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.12
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.65
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 3.90 25.6% | 3.81 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| x2 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 35.7% | — | |
| 1.38 72.5% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | — | |
| 2.80 35.7% | 2.75 36.4% |
Match center
Pittsburg
L
W
L
L
W
Pittsburg
0:1
Rod Aylend
Rod Aylend
Pittsburg
3:1
Luisvill Siti
Luisvill Siti
Pittsburg
1:2
Sporting Jax
Sporting Jax
Pittsburg
0:2
Brooklyn
Pittsburg
1:0
Indi Eleven
Indi Eleven
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Tulsa
D
W
D
L
Tulsa
0:0
Lexington
Lexington
Tulsa
1:0
El-Paso Lokomotiv
El-Paso Lokomotiv
Tulsa
0:0
Sakramento Repablik
Sakramento Repablik
Tulsa
1:5
Charlston
1
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.3
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPittsburg - Tulsa
Pittsburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Pittsburg - Tulsa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form