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USA. USL

01.08.2026 01:00 UTC

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USA. USL

Sacramento Republic - Sporting JAX

Football

Sacramento Republic

- : -

Not started

Sporting JAX

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sacramento Republic — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sacramento Republic): model 53% · market 71% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sacramento Republic ✓ Pick55.4%

X · draw20.5%

2 · Sporting JAX24.1%

Model estimate: win Sacramento Republic 55.4%, draw 20.5%, win Sporting JAX 24.1%. Model favourite — Sacramento Republic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sacramento Republic (odds2.22) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Sakramento Repablik: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.22)
• edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sacramento Republic - Sporting JAX August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sacramento Republic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.20 / 2 8.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%

1 ✓ Pick 70.8%

X 17.8%

2 11.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship

League table

Sacramento Republic

#1023 ptsGP 156-5-419:15

ARRAY

Sporting JAX

#258 ptsGP 181-5-1223:46

ARRAY

Best price across 9 books

1 1.33 Unibet

X 5.59 Pinnacle

2 8.12 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Sacramento Republic

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.26 xGA 1.15

Sporting JAX

W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.80 Conceded 2.80 xG 1.11 xGA 1.79

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Sacramento Republic

Rating 1546 xG 2.06 Win 67%

Sporting JAX

Rating 1316 xG 0.77 Win 13%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 01:00 UTC

Match center

Sacramento Republic - Sporting JAX

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sacramento Republic - 55.4% model pick

Draw - 20.5% draw risk

Sporting JAX - 24.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 55.4% / 20.5% / 24.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,535 / 1,330 Sacramento Republic / Sporting Jax

RD 154 / 157 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,226-1,844 / 1,015-1,645 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.00 market consensus · no value · model 24.1%

X 5.15 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 55.4%

Double chance

12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 79.5%

1X 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%

X2 3.08 market consensus · no value · model 44.6%

Total

Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.89 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.89 52.9%
yes	1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.10 90.9%	1.13 88.5%
1x	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%
x2	3.05 32.8%	3.10 32.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.78 56.2%
X	2.67 37.5%
	6.90 14.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.21 45.3%
Under 1.5	1.60 62.5%

Match center

Sacramento Republic

W D W D W

26.07 00:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sacramento Republic 3:1 Oklend Ruts

18.07 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sacramento Republic 1:1 Charlston

09.07 00:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sacramento Republic 2:1 Rod Aylend

04.07 22:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sacramento Republic 0:0 Talsa

13.06 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sacramento Republic 1:0 Kolorado Springs

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

11 Points

Sporting JAX

L D W D L

25.07 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sporting JAX 0:2 El-Paso Lokomotiv

18.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sporting JAX 2:2 Brooklyn

15.07 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sporting JAX 2:1 Pittsburg

03.07 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sporting JAX 2:2 Laudon

14.06 00:40 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Sporting JAX 2:6 Detroyt

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.6 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySacramento Republic - Sporting JAX

Sacramento Republic

0 matches total

Sporting JAX

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Sacramento Republic - Sporting JAX

AI match prediction Sacramento Republic - Sporting JAX August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Sacramento Republic - Sporting JAX

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history