USA. USL
FC Tulsa go head-to-head with Sacramento Republic on August 4, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): FC Tulsa 2-1-1, Sacramento Republic 4-1-0. The bookmaker line makes FC Tulsa the favourite at about 37%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 FC Tulsa — 36%
Pure model vs market (1 · FC Tulsa): model 37% · market 37% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win FC Tulsa 35.8%, draw 28.9%, win Sacramento Republic 35.3%. Model favourite — FC Tulsa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Tulsa.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Form and head-to-head • USL Championship
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 2.62 38.2% | 2.61 38.3% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.70 37.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.38 72.5% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.45 69.0% |
| x2 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.16 31.7% | |
| X | 2.00 50.0% |
| 3.40 29.4% |
FC Tulsa
Pittsburg
Lexington
El-Paso Lokomotiv
Charlston
Sacramento Republic
Sporting Jax
Charlston
Rod Aylend
Full head-to-head historyFC Tulsa - Sacramento Republic
The FC Tulsa - Sacramento Republic breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
