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USA. USL
USA. USL
06.08.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

FC Tulsa - Sacramento Republic

Football
FC Tulsa
FC Tulsa
0 : 0
Finished
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic

FC Tulsa face Sacramento Republic on August 6, 2026 in the USA. USL.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Tulsa 2-1-1, Sacramento Republic 4-1-0. The market favourite is FC Tulsa at roughly 37%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 34% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sacramento Republic — 37%

Pure model vs market (2 · Sacramento Republic): model 38% · market 35% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · FC Tulsa34.2%
X · draw28.9%
2 · Sacramento Republic36.9%

Model estimate: win FC Tulsa 34.2%, draw 28.9%, win Sacramento Republic 36.9%. Model favourite — Sacramento Republic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FC Tulsa (odds2.48) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.60) ✓ Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.85) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Talsa: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.48)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.60)
  • • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Tulsa - Sacramento Republic August 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Tulsa.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Tulsa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.47 / X 3.15 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: FC Tulsa 36.8% / X 28.9% / Sacramento Republic 34.3%
  • Glicko: FC Tulsa 34.2% / X 28.9% / Sacramento Republic 36.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 14 books · best price +10.7%
1 36.5%
X 28.9%
2 34.6%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
FC Tulsa
#926 ptsGP 167-5-419:16
Sacramento Republic
#826 ptsGP 167-5-424:15
Best price across 9 books
1 2.77 Pinnacle
X 3.25 Betfair
2 2.60 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FC Tulsa
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.39 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.31 xGA 1.38
Sacramento Republic
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.37 xGA 1.12

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FC Tulsa
Rating 1542 xG 1.04 Win 30%
Sacramento Republic
Rating 1554 xG 1.30 Win 43%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Form and head-to-head • USL Championship

Team stats

FC Tulsa
LLDWWWDLWL
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.5
4 place, 19 pts
Sacramento Republic
WWDDDWLLWL
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 0.9
7 place, 16 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — FC Tulsa 2, draws 5, Sacramento Republic 7 (goals 11:27)
  • Sacramento Republic — FC Tulsa2026-03-08 2:0
  • Sacramento Republic — FC Tulsa2025-06-08 0:1
  • FC Tulsa — Sacramento Republic2025-03-29 1:0
  • FC Tulsa — Sacramento Republic2024-06-23 0:0
  • Sacramento Republic — FC Tulsa2024-04-14 1:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 02:10 UTC
1 32%
X 30%
2 38% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 2-0
Claude updated04.08.2026 02:13 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 32%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 32% 30% 38% 0:1 Under 2.5 No X2
Claude 38% 30% 32% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 36.8% @ 2.47 / X 28.9% @ 3.15 / 2 34.3% @ 2.65
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models FC Tulsa 35%
📐 Math model Sacramento Republic 37%
💹 Market FC Tulsa 3683%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

FC Tulsa - Sacramento Republic

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 35.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.759 / LogLoss 1.243
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 35.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.759 / LogLoss 1.243
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC Tulsa 34.0% 34.2%
Draw 29.2% 28.9% draw risk
Sacramento Republic 36.8% 36.9% market and model agree
xG - 1.04 : 1.30
1X2: 14 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.2% / 28.9% / 36.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,464 / 1,586 Tulsa / Sacramento Republic
RD 161 / 155 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,142-1,786 / 1,275-1,897 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 Fonbet · no value · model 36.9%
X 3.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.55 Fonbet · no value · model 34.2%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 71.1%
1X 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 63.1%
X2 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 65.8%
Handicap
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.62 38.2% 2.61 38.3% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.75 57.1% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.37 73.0% 1.39 71.9% 1.45 69.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.43 29.2%
X 2.08 48.1%
3.26 30.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-2-1, avg 1.2 gls
2026-03-08 · Talsa 0:2 Sakramento Repablik
2025-06-08 · Talsa 1:0 Sakramento Repablik
2025-03-29 · Talsa 1:0 Sakramento Repablik
2024-06-23 · Talsa 0:0 Sakramento Repablik
2024-04-14 · Talsa 1:1 Sakramento Repablik
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.75 (Betcity) · X 3.2 (Betcity) · 2 2.65 (Fonbet)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.65 3.1 2.45
Winline 2.65 3.1 2.5
Fonbet 2.5 3.05 2.65
Betcity 2.75 3.2 2.47
Liga Stavok 2.7 3.1 2.55
Source: ruscore · line comparison
FC Tulsa
W D W L
29.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
FC Tulsa 1:0 PittsburgPittsburg
25.07 22:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
FC Tulsa 0:0 LexingtonLexington
18.07 22:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
FC Tulsa 1:0 El-Paso LokomotivEl-Paso Lokomotiv
13.06 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
FC Tulsa 1:5 CharlstonCharlston
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Sacramento Republic
W W D W W
02.08 03:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sacramento Republic 5:0 Sporting JaxSporting Jax
26.07 00:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sacramento Republic 3:1 Oklend Ruts
18.07 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sacramento Republic 1:1 CharlstonCharlston
09.07 00:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sacramento Republic 2:1 Rod AylendRod Aylend
13.06 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sacramento Republic 1:0 Kolorado Springs
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points