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USA. USL
USA. USL
13.06.2026 21:30 UTC Match prediction
13.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic

Football
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0 : 1
Finished
Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Line favourite market consensus: Tampa Bay Rowdies. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.01 / 2 6.12
  • 1X2 market: Tampa Bay Rowdies 62.4% / X 22.7% / Hartford Athletic 14.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 62.4%
X 22.7%
2 14.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Tampa Bay Rowdies
#128 ptsGP 138-4-121:8
LDWWW
Hartford Athletic
#717 ptsGP 114-5-210:10
WDLWD
Best price across 12 books
1 1.56 Unibet
X 4.31 Pinnacle
2 6.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W-D-L 6-4-0 Scored 1.70 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.65 xGA 1.17
1 +1.91 X +4.00 2 -10.00 1 (DNB) +3.29
Hartford Athletic
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 0.89 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.45 xGA 1.26
1 -2.53 X +7.08 2 -4.95 1 (DNB) +0.65

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Rating 1664
Hartford Athletic
Rating 1524

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 1.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1 0 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4%
6.40 15.6% 6.44 15.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.10 16.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 3.05 32.8%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
12.00 8.3%
10.50 9.5%
9.00 11.1%
4.20 23.8%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.17 85.5%
Match center
Tampa Bay Rowdies
D
10.06 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 Charlston
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points