USA. USL

04.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

USA. USL

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington

Futbol

Tampa Bay Rowdies

1 : 4

Finished

Lexington

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Tampa Bay Rowdies — 57%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Line favourite market consensus: Tampa Bay Rowdies. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 3.89 / 2 4.97
1X2 market: Tampa Bay Rowdies 58.1% / X 23.5% / Lexington 18.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%

1 58.2%

X 23.5%

2 18.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • USL Championship

Team stats

Tampa Bay Rowdies

DDWDWWWDLW

W 5 • D 4 • L 1 (10)

Goals average:1.5 : 0.7

1 place, 31 pts

Lexington

LLDLDLWLWW

W 3 • D 2 • L 5 (10)

Goals average:1.3 : 1.5

11 place, 15 pts

Head-to-head: 1 — Tampa Bay Rowdies 0, draws 1, Lexington 0 (goals 1:1)

Lexington — Tampa Bay Rowdies2025-05-24 1:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center

Start 04.07.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington

Form 2/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.96 market consensus · line only

X 3.89 market consensus · line only

1 1.57 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.70 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.03 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.60 62.5%	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%
X	3.75 26.7%	3.92 25.5%	3.80 26.3%	3.85 26.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%
	4.75 21.1%	5.01 20.0%	4.75 21.1%	4.85 20.6%	5.00 20.0%	5.25 19.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.03 49.3%
yes	1.70 58.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.12 47.2%
X	2.27 44.1%
	5.00 20.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.65 60.6%
Under 1	2.12 47.2%

Match center

Tampa Bay Rowdies

L D

13.06 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1 Khartford Atletik

10.06 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 Charlston

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

1 Points

Lexington

13.06 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Lexington 2:0 San-Antonio

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington

Tampa Bay Rowdies

0 matches total

Lexington

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington

AI match prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington July 4, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Team stats

Buy the full AI analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history