USA. USL
Tampa Bay Rowdies go head-to-head with Louisville City on August 2, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2-2, Louisville City 3-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tampa Bay Rowdies): model 38% · market 48% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Tampa Bay Rowdies 46.9%, draw 25.2%, win Louisville City 27.9%. Model favourite — Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.56 64.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.29 77.5% |
| x2 | 1.71 58.5% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.52 39.7% | |
| X | 2.35 42.6% |
| 3.86 25.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Under 1 | 2.23 44.8% |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Mayami
Lexington
Khartford Atletik
Louisville City
Pittsburg
Khartford Atletik
Finiks Rayzing
Full head-to-head historyTampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City
The Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
