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USA. USL
USA. USL
04.07.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Tulsa - Sacramento Republic

Futbol
Tulsa
Tulsa
0 : 0
Finished
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tulsa - Sacramento Republic July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tulsa.

Line favourite market consensus: Tulsa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.47 / X 3.15 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: Tulsa 36.8% / X 28.9% / Sacramento Republic 34.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 36.8%
X 28.9%
2 34.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • USL Championship

Team stats

Tulsa
LLDWWWDLWL
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.5
4 place, 19 pts
Sacramento Republic
WWDDDWLLWL
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 0.9
7 place, 16 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — Tulsa 2, draws 5, Sacramento Republic 7 (goals 11:27)
  • Sacramento Republic — FC Tulsa2026-03-08 2:0
  • Sacramento Republic — FC Tulsa2025-06-08 0:1
  • FC Tulsa — Sacramento Republic2025-03-29 1:0
  • FC Tulsa — Sacramento Republic2024-06-23 0:0
  • Sacramento Republic — FC Tulsa2024-04-14 1:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Match center

Tulsa - Sacramento Republic

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 Fonbet · line only
X 3.20 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.45 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.62 38.2% 2.61 38.3% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.75 57.1% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.43 69.9% 1.47 68.0% 1.45 69.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.16 31.7%
X 2.00 50.0%
3.40 29.4%
Match center
Tulsa
L
13.06 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Tulsa 1:5 Charlston
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sacramento Republic
W
13.06 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sacramento Republic 1:0 Kolorado Springs
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points