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USA. USL. League 1
USA. USL. League 1
11.06.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL. League 1

AV Alta - Sarasota Paradise

Football
AV Alta
AV Alta
3 : 1
Finished
Sarasota Paradise
Sarasota Paradise

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AV Alta - Sarasota Paradise June 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AV Alta.

Line favourite market consensus: AV Alta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.42 / 2 2.91
  • 1X2 market: AV Alta 42.7% / X 26.3% / Sarasota Paradise 31.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 42.7%
X 26.3%
2 31.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League One
League table
AV Alta
#717 ptsGP 114-5-218:13
Sarasota Paradise
#1113 ptsGP 144-1-914:24
Best price across 12 books
1 2.20 Unibet
X 3.59 Pinnacle
2 3.05 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
AV Alta
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.51 Conceded 1.19 xG 1.40 xGA 1.43
1 -2.17 X +4.21 2 -5.23 1 (DNB) +0.17
Sarasota Paradise
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.31 xGA 1.41
1 -2.11 X -10.00 2 +6.48 1 (DNB) -4.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
AV Alta
Rating 1531 xG 1.54 Win 45%
Sarasota Paradise
Rating 1407 xG 1.19 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 01:00 UTC
Match center

AV Alta - Sarasota Paradise

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.44 29.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.13 32.0%
2.90 34.5% 2.97 33.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.33 75.2%
yes 2.90 34.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 10.50 9.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.18 84.8%
4.05 24.7%
5.90 17.0%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5%
4.05 24.7%
1.18 84.8%
1.08 92.6%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%