Match center
Start
13.06.2026 21:00 UTC
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13.06.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished
USA. USL. League 1
Charlotte Independence - FC Naples
4
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Charlotte Independence - FC Naples June 13, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.90 / X 1.72 / 2 6.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.3%
1
31.6%
X
53.2%
2
15.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
USL League OneLeague table
Charlotte Independence
WWWWW
FC Naples
LLLWL
Best price
across 12 books
1
1.70
Unibet
X
3.80
Betfair
2
5.00
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Charlotte Independence
W-D-L 7-1-2
Scored 2.60
Conceded 1.20
xG 1.48
xGA 1.37
1 +7.29
X -9.00
2 -4.05
1 (DNB) +3.29
FC Naples
W-D-L 3-1-6
Scored 0.80
Conceded 1.61
xG 1.22
xGA 1.30
1 -4.00
X -6.80
2 +3.22
1 (DNB) -4.67
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Charlotte Independence
Rating 1643
FC Naples
Rating 1486
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Charlotte Independence - FC Naples
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.00
Fonbet · line only
X
1.72
Fonbet · line only
1
2.90
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.95
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.12
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.35
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.85
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.37
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.28
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.20
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.95 51.3% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 6.10 16.4% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 2.85 35.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.20 31.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.33 75.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 6.00 16.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.08 92.6% |
Match center
Charlotte Independence
W
W
Charlotte Independence
2:0
Yunion Omakha
Charlotte Independence
5:1
FC Naples
FC Naples
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
FC Naples
L
FC Naples
1:5
Sharlott Independ.
Sharlott Independ.
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
5.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCharlotte Independence - FC Naples
Charlotte Independence
1
matches total
Charlotte Independence: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Naples: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Sharlott Independ. 5:1 (03.06 21:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (5:1, 03.06 21:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Sharlott Independ.
5:1
FC Naples
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form