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USA. USL. League 1
USA. USL. League 1
10.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL. League 1

Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha

Football
Charlotte Independence
Charlotte Independence
2 : 0
Finished
U
Union Omaha

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha June 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Charlotte Independence.

Line favourite market consensus: Charlotte Independence. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.58 / 2 2.86
  • 1X2 market: Charlotte Independence 43.1% / X 25.2% / Union Omaha 31.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 43.1%
X 25.3%
2 31.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League One
League table
Charlotte Independence
#223 ptsGP 117-2-227:13
Union Omaha
#128 ptsGP 139-1-322:14
Best price across 12 books
1 2.15 Dafabet
X 3.85 Superbet
2 3.10 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Charlotte Independence
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.51 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.44 xGA 1.36
1 +6.24 X -8.00 2 -3.05 1 (DNB) +2.72
Union Omaha
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 1.90 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.75 xGA 1.12
1 +4.85 X -6.20 2 -6.60 1 (DNB) +2.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Charlotte Independence
Rating 1616 xG 1.55 Win 43%
Union Omaha
Rating 1673 xG 1.31 Win 32%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 10.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 5.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3%
2.85 35.1% 2.86 35.0% 3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.40 71.4%
yes 2.75 36.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.07 93.5%
x2 10.50 9.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.18 84.8%
5.80 17.2%
7.30 13.7%
1.09 91.7%
10.50 9.5%
10.50 9.5%
4.05 24.7%
1.09 91.7%
1.05 95.2%
5.60 17.9%
Match center
Charlotte Independence
W
03.06 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 1 YuSL Standings
Charlotte Independence 5:1 FC NaplesFC Naples
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points