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USA. USL. League 1
USA. USL. League 1
03.06.2026 21:30 UTC Match prediction
03.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL. League 1

FC Naples - Charlotte Independence

Football
FC Naples
FC Naples
1 : 5
Finished
Charlotte Independence
Charlotte Independence

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Naples - Charlotte Independence June 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Charlotte Independence.

Line favourite market consensus: Charlotte Independence. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.85 / X 3.50 / 2 2.12
  • 1X2 market: FC Naples 31.6% / X 25.8% / Charlotte Independence 42.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 31.7%
X 25.8%
2 42.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League One
Best price across 11 books
1 3.00 10Bet
X 4.00 Superbet
2 2.20 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
FC Naples
Rating 1510 xG 1.16 Win 30%
Charlotte Independence
Rating 1589 xG 1.45 Win 44%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

FC Naples - Charlotte Independence

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 7.80 Fonbet · line only
1 2.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.00 33.3% 2.89 34.6% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.13 32.0%
2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.60 38.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.06 94.3%
1x 10.00 10.0%
x2 1.03 97.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
5.60 17.9%
9.00 11.1%
6.10 16.4%
3.95 25.3%
1.25 80.0%
1.02 98.0%
10.00 10.0%
8.50 11.8%
8.50 11.8%
1.09 91.7%
1.03 97.1%
1.08 92.6%
1.19 84.0%
3.50 28.6%
10.00 10.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.03 97.1%