USA: Liga 1 YuSL Standings
Sarasota Paradise - Naples
Sarasota Paradise go head-to-head with Naples on August 1, 2026 in the USA: Liga 1 YuSL Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sarasota Paradise 1-2-1, Naples 0-0-4. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Sarasota Paradise — 75%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sarasota Paradise): model 61% · market 46% Δ +15 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Sarasota Paradise 75.3%, draw 14.8%, win Naples 9.8%. Model favourite — Sarasota Paradise.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Sarasota Paradise: probability 75% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 3:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sarasota Paradise - Naples August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.43 / 2 3.27
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
USL League OneHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Sarasota Paradise - Naples
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.66 37.6% | |
| X | 2.09 47.9% |
| 3.90 25.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.87 53.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 2.35 42.6% |
Sarasota Paradise
Richmond Kikers
AV Alta
Naples
Forvard Medison
Nyu-York Kosmos
Portland Hearts of Pine
Sharlott Independ.
Full head-to-head historySarasota Paradise - Naples
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Sarasota Paradise - Naples breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form