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USA. USL. League 1
USA. USL. League 1
13.06.2026 21:30 UTC Match prediction
13.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL. League 1

Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha

Football
Sarasota Paradise
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 0
Finished
U
Union Omaha

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Omaha.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Omaha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.71 / X 3.44 / 2 2.22
  • 1X2 market: Sarasota Paradise 33.2% / X 26.3% / Union Omaha 40.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 33.2%
X 26.2%
2 40.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League One
League table
Sarasota Paradise
#1016 ptsGP 155-1-916:24
WLWWL
Union Omaha
#128 ptsGP 149-1-422:16
LLWWW
Best price across 12 books
1 3.00 Bet365
X 3.65 Superbet
2 2.32 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sarasota Paradise
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.32 xGA 1.46
1 -2.11 X -10.00 2 +5.83 1 (DNB) -4.00
Union Omaha
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.69 xGA 1.19
1 +3.32 X -6.20 2 -4.55 1 (DNB) +1.09

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Sarasota Paradise
Rating 1393
Union Omaha
Rating 1647

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 7.10 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.75 36.4% 2.62 38.2% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.48 28.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.00 33.3%
2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 10.50 9.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.08 92.6%
1.01 99.0%
1.04 96.2%
12.00 8.3%
1.05 95.2%
6.00 16.7%
12.00 8.3%
7.90 12.7%
1.01 99.0%
7.10 14.1%
Match center
Sarasota Paradise
L
11.06 01:00 UTC USA: Liga 1 YuSL Standings
Sarasota Paradise 1:3 AV AltaAV Alta
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Union Omaha
L
10.06 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 1 YuSL Standings
Union Omaha 0:2 Sharlott Independ.
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points