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USA. USL. League 2. Quarter-finals
USA. USL. League 2. Quarter-finals
01.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

USA. USL. League 2. Quarter-finals

Flint City Bucks - Vermont Green

Football
F
Flint City Bucks
- : -
Not started
Vermont Green
Vermont Green

Flint City Bucks meet Vermont Green on August 1, 2026 in the USA. USL. League 2. Quarter-finals.

Recent form (W-D-L): Flint City Bucks 4-0-0, Vermont Green 4-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Vermont Green53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Vermont Green): model 37% · market 56% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Flint City Bucks25.6%
X · draw21.6%
2 · Vermont Green52.8%

Model estimate: win Flint City Bucks 25.6%, draw 21.6%, win Vermont Green 52.8%. Model favourite — Vermont Green.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Vermont Green (odds2.45) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Vermont Grin: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
  • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Flint City Bucks - Vermont Green August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Vermont Green. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.22 / X 4.23 / 2 1.69

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 22.2%
X 22.2%
2 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League Two
League table
Flint City Bucks
#243 ptsGP 1614-1-147:14
Vermont Green
#152 ptsGP 1817-1-083:13
Best price across 7 books
1 4.60 BetVictor
X 4.33 Bet365
2 1.64 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Flint City Bucks
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 2.70 Conceded 0.80 xG 2.69 xGA 1.03 Corners 1.0
Vermont Green
W-D-L 10-0-0 Scored 5.00 Conceded 0.80 xG 2.55 xGA 0.97

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Flint City Bucks
Rating 1874
Vermont Green
Rating 2042

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 22.2% @ 4.22 / X 22.2% @ 4.23 / 2 55.6% @ 1.69
Match center

Flint City Bucks - Vermont Green

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Flint City Bucks 24.6% 25.6%
Draw 21.6% 21.6% draw risk
Vermont Green 53.8% 52.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.6% / 21.6% / 52.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 2,099 / 2,163 Middlelam United / Vermont Green
RD 154 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,792-2,406 / 1,879-2,447 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 52.8%
X 4.21 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.87 market consensus · no value · model 25.6%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 78.4%
1X 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 47.2%
X2 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 74.4%
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.51 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.89 52.9% 2.04 49.0%
x2 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.60 21.7%
X 2.42 41.3%
2.08 48.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Flint City Bucks
W W W W
26.07 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Flint City Bucks 1:0 VenturaVentura
24.07 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Flint City Bucks 4:0 Peoriya
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Flint City Bucks 2:1 Stil SitiStil Siti
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Flint City Bucks 2:0 Buffalo
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
12 Points
Vermont Green
W W W W
26.07 23:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Vermont Green 7:1 Larido Khit
24.07 20:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Vermont Green 4:0 Eshvill Siti
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Vermont Green 4:0 Oushen Siti
17.07 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL - Playoff
Vermont Green 4:0 Ironbound SC
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.8 Scored
0.3 Conceded
12 Points