Match center
Start
03.07.2026 21:00 UTC
03.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished
USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32
Buffalo - Lorain County Leviathan
B
Buffalo
4
:
1
Finished
L
Lorain County Leviathan
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Buffalo - Lorain County Leviathan July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Buffalo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 5.50 / 2 5.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.2%
1
66.7%
X
16.5%
2
16.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
USL League TwoForm over 10 matches (SStats)
Buffalo
W-D-L 6-3-1
Scored 2.80
Conceded 1.00
xG 1.56
xGA 1.58
Lorain County Leviathan
W-D-L 5-1-3
Scored 2.34
Conceded 1.67
xG 1.77
xGA 1.50
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Buffalo
Rating 1720
Lorain County Leviathan
Rating 1590
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Buffalo - Lorain County Leviathan
Form
3/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.40
market consensus · line only
X
5.50
market consensus · line only
1
1.36
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.47
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.26
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.47 28.8% |
| yes | 1.26 79.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | |
| X | 3.27 30.6% |
| 4.73 21.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 2 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 2 | 1.85 54.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
Buffalo
W
W
L
Buffalo
4:2
Klivlend Fors
Buffalo
5:0
Erie Sports Center
Erie Sports Center
Buffalo
0:3
Stil Siti
Stil Siti
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.7
Conceded
6
Points
Lorain County Leviathan
W
W
W
W
Lorain County Leviathan
4:1
Akron City
Lorain County Leviathan
3:2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Lorain County Leviathan
3:1
Klivlend Fors
Lorain County Leviathan
3:1
Erie Sports Center
Erie Sports Center
4
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.3
Scored
1.3
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBuffalo - Lorain County Leviathan
Buffalo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals