USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32
USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32
11.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32

Hill City - Virginia Marauders

Futbol
H
Hill City
3 : 0
Finished
V
Virginia Marauders

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hill City - Virginia Marauders July 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hill City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / X 9.40 / 2 14.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 84.0%
X 9.7%
2 6.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League Two
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hill City
W-D-L 4-0-6 Scored 2.00 Conceded 2.40 xG 1.35 xGA 1.79
Virginia Marauders
W-D-L 1-0-9 Scored 0.60 Conceded 3.10 xG 0.82 xGA 3.18 Corners 0.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Hill City
Rating 1475
Virginia Marauders
Rating 1100

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hill City 4 : 1 Virginia Marauders
11.06
X9.25
214.10

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Hill City - Virginia Marauders

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 9.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.51 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.51 39.8%
yes 1.47 68.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.30 76.9%
X 4.22 23.7%
9.60 10.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 2 1.64 61.0%
Under 2 2.13 47.0%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
Match center
Hill City
L W L L W
03.07 22:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Hill City 0:4 LayonsbridzhLayonsbridzh
30.06 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Hill City 1:0 Patuksent
13.06 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Hill City 0:2 Charlottesville Blues
10.06 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Hill City 3:5 Virdzhiniya Bich
03.06 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Hill City 3:0 Bethesda SC
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Virginia Marauders
L L L L W
08.07 20:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Virginia Marauders 2:3 Bethesda SC
05.07 19:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Virginia Marauders 0:4 Bethesda SC
30.06 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Virginia Marauders 1:4 Annapolis Blues
13.06 21:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Virginia Marauders 1:3 Virdzhiniya Bich
10.06 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Virginia Marauders 1:0 Patuksent
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHill City - Virginia Marauders

Hill City
1 matches total
Virginia Marauders
Hill City: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Virginia Marauders: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Hill City 5:1 (31.05 21:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 31.05 21:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 5

Match history

31.05 21:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Hill City
5:1
Virginia Marauders