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USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32
USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32
10.06.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
10.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32

River Light - Edgewater Castle

Football
R
River Light
1 : 1
Finished
E
Edgewater Castle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction River Light - Edgewater Castle June 10, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: River Light. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.78 / X 3.55 / 2 4.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 51.5%
X 25.8%
2 22.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League Two
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
River Light
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.96 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.83 xGA 1.71
1 -1.36 X +2.70 2 -3.47 1 (DNB) -0.85
Edgewater Castle
W-D-L 2-0-3 Scored 2.00 Conceded 2.40
1 +0.00 X +0.00 2 +0.00 1 (DNB) +0.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
River Light
Rating 1503
Edgewater Castle
Rating 1401

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 10.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

River Light - Edgewater Castle

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.05 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.22 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.22 82.0%
x2 1.90 52.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
3.05 32.8%
6.00 16.7%
11.00 9.1%
1.33 75.2%
8.50 11.8%
1.30 76.9%
1.08 92.6%
1.01 99.0%
2.90 34.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Fonbet Leon
Over 1.5 — — 1.22 82.0% —
Over 2.5 — 1.40 71.4% 1.06 94.3% —
Over 3.5 1.84 54.4% — 1.37 73.0% 1.83 54.6%
Over 4.5 — — 2.10 47.6% —
Over 5.5 — — 3.45 29.0% —
Over 6.5 — — 6.10 16.4% —
Under 1.5 — — 3.65 27.4% —
Under 2.5 — 2.75 36.4% 6.90 14.5% —
Under 3.5 1.82 55.0% — 2.85 35.1% 1.84 54.4%
Under 4.5 — — 1.65 60.6% —
Under 5.5 — — 1.25 80.0% —
Under 6.5 — — 1.08 92.6% —
Match center
River Light
W W L
06.06 22:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
River Light 4:1 Rockford Raptors
03.06 22:30 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
River Light 2:1 Sueno
31.05 18:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
River Light 1:2 Seynt-Krua
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Edgewater Castle
L L
06.06 19:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Edgewater Castle 2:3 Rochester FC
31.05 20:00 UTC USA: Liga 2 YuSL Standings
Edgewater Castle 1:2 Chikago Datch Layons
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points