Match center
Start
04.07.2026 00:00 UTC
04.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished
USA. USL. League 2. Round of 32
Tacoma Stars - Snohomish United
T
Tacoma Stars
2
:
2
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
2Snohomish United — odds 2.00 · edge +9.5% · 13 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tacoma Stars - Snohomish United July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Snohomish United.
Line favourite market consensus: Snohomish United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.48 / X 5.28 / 2 1.31
- 1X2 market: Tacoma Stars 14.0% / X 17.1% / Snohomish United 68.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.7%
1
13.9%
X
17.1%
2
69.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
USL League Two
Best price
across 11 books
1
8.40
10Bet
X
5.69
Pinnacle
2
1.39
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tacoma Stars
W-D-L 3-2-5
Scored 2.10
Conceded 2.00
xG 1.08
xGA 2.63
Corners 3.0
Snohomish United
W-D-L 10-0-0
Scored 3.20
Conceded 0.80
xG 2.26
xGA 1.27
Corners 5.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Tacoma Stars
Rating 1414
xG 0.86
Win 12%
Snohomish United
Rating 1722
xG 2.38
Win 71%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Tacoma Stars | Snohomish United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Average total | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | 80% | 60% |
| Matches counted | 5 | 5 |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Tacoma Stars - Snohomish United
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.35
market consensus · line only
X
4.90
Fonbet · line only
1
1.17
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.13
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.30
Fonbet · line only
X2
4.20
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.30
Fonbet · line only
1 0
3.10
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Yes
6.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.75 14.8% | 6.99 14.3% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.90 17.0% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.00 14.3% | |
| X | 4.75 21.1% | 5.65 17.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.06 94.3% | 2.97 33.7% |
| yes | 6.80 14.7% | 1.34 74.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 2.70 37.0% | 3.00 33.3% | 1.30 76.9% |
| x2 | 1.03 97.1% | 1.07 93.5% | 4.20 23.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.12 32.1% | |
| X | 2.62 38.2% |
| 2.45 40.8% |
Match center
Tacoma Stars
L
W
W
D
L
Tacoma Stars
1:2
Snohomish United
Snohomish United
Tacoma Stars
5:4
FC Olympia
Tacoma Stars
3:0
Bigfoot
Tacoma Stars
1:1
Ballar
Ballar
Tacoma Stars
3:4
Portland Bangers
Portland Bangers
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.6
Scored
2.2
Conceded
7
Points
Snohomish United
W
W
W
W
W
Snohomish United
2:1
Tacoma Stars
Snohomish United
3:2
West Seattle Junction
West Seattle Junction
Snohomish United
2:0
Ballar
Ballar
Snohomish United
5:0
FC Olympia
Snohomish United
2:1
Midlakes United
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTacoma Stars - Snohomish United
Tacoma Stars
1
matches total
Tacoma Stars: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Snohomish United: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Snohomish United 1:2 (30.06 23:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 30.06 23:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Tacoma Stars
1:2
Snohomish United