Match center
Start
12.07.2026 20:00 UTC
12.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
USA. MLS Next Pro
Connecticut FC - Toronto II
3
:
2
Finished
T
Toronto II
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Connecticut FC - Toronto II July 12, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Connecticut FC.
Line favourite market consensus: Connecticut FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.32 / 2 5.36
- 1X2 market: Connecticut FC 62.1% / X 21.0% / Toronto II 16.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.3%
1
62.1%
X
21.0%
2
16.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
MLS Next ProLeague table
Connecticut FC
WWLWW
Toronto II
LLLLL
Best price
across 9 books
1
1.50
Bet365
X
4.70
Dafabet
2
5.76
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Connecticut FC
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 1.91
Conceded 1.60
xG 1.89
xGA 1.29
Toronto II
W-D-L 3-1-6
Scored 1.20
Conceded 2.40
xG 1.34
xGA 1.89
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Connecticut FC
Rating 1495
Toronto II
Rating 1489
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Connecticut FC
3
:
1
Toronto II
11.42
X4.50
25.70
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Connecticut FC - Toronto II
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.36
market consensus · line only
X
7.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.09
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.80
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.20
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.05
market consensus · line only
2 0
2.75
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.48
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.41 70.9% | |
| X | 4.33 23.1% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.45 22.5% |
| 5.25 19.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.40 18.5% | 5.60 17.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.48 67.6% | 2.29 43.7% |
| yes | 2.45 40.8% | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 5.80 17.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
Match center
Connecticut FC
W
W
L
Connecticut FC
3:1
Carolina Core
Connecticut FC
4:2
Toronto II
Connecticut FC
1:2
Kolambus Kryu 2
Kolambus Kryu 2
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.7
Scored
1.7
Conceded
6
Points
Toronto II
L
L
W
Toronto II
0:1
Atlanta 2
Toronto II
2:4
Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC
Toronto II
2:1
Huntsville
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.3
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyConnecticut FC - Toronto II
Connecticut FC
1
matches total
Connecticut FC: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toronto II: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Connecticut FC 4:2 (14.06 17:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (4:2, 14.06 17:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Connecticut FC
4:2
Toronto II