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USA. MLS Next Pro

31.07.2026 21:00 UTC

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USA. MLS Next Pro

New York City II - Philadelphia Union II

Football

New York City II

- : -

Not started

Philadelphia Union II

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 New York City II — 54%

1 · New York City II54.4%

X · draw20.1%

2 · Philadelphia Union II25.5%

Model estimate: win New York City II 54.4%, draw 20.1%, win Philadelphia Union II 25.5%. Model favourite — New York City II.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1New York City II (odds1.84) Score 2:1 confidence 54%

• Model backs Nyu-York Siti II: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.84)
• legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York City II - Philadelphia Union II July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: New York City II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.70 / 2 2.81

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%

1 42.6%

X 24.8%

2 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

MLS Next Pro

League table

New York City II

#1727 ptsGP 188-3-729:29

ARRAY

Philadelphia Union II

#2224 ptsGP 207-3-1021:27

ARRAY

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

New York City II

W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.10 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.43 xGA 2.05

Philadelphia Union II

W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.56 xGA 1.76

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

New York City II

Rating 1530

Philadelphia Union II

Rating 1504

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Match center

New York City II - Philadelphia Union II

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants H2H

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

New York City II - 54.4% model pick

Draw - 20.1% draw risk

Philadelphia Union II - 25.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 54.4% / 20.1% / 25.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,597 / 1,530 Nyu-York Siti II / Philadelphia Union 2

RD 208 / 178 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,181-2,013 / 1,173-1,887 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.78 market consensus · no value · model 25.5%

X 3.70 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.14 market consensus · value +16.3% · model 54.4%

Double chance

12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 79.9%

1X 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 74.5%

X2 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 45.6%

Handicap

2 0 2.08 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.67 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.78 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.39 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.78 36.0%
yes	1.39 71.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%
1x	1.35 74.1%	1.39 71.9%
x2	1.56 64.1%	1.62 61.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.66 37.6%
X	2.34 42.7%
	3.26 30.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.11 47.4%
Under 1.5	1.65 60.6%

Match center

New York City II

L L W D

26.07 13:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

New York City II 2:3 Atlanta 2

23.07 13:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

New York City II 0:3 Nyu-Inglend Revolyushn II

11.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

New York City II 3:0 Crown Legacy

14.06 17:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

New York City II 0:0 Filadelfiya II

1 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.3 Scored

1.5 Conceded

4 Points

Philadelphia Union II

L D D W D

25.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Philadelphia Union II 0:4 Chattanugo

18.07 20:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Philadelphia Union II 0:0 Kolambus Kryu 2

12.07 17:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Philadelphia Union II 0:0 Huntsville

05.07 13:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Philadelphia Union II 4:0 Nyu-Inglend Revolyushn II

14.06 17:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Philadelphia Union II 0:0 Nyu-York Siti II

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew York City II - Philadelphia Union II

New York City II

1 matches total

Philadelphia Union II

New York City II: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Philadelphia Union II: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (14.06 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.06 17:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Nyu-York Siti II

0:0

Filadelfiya II