USA. MLS Next Pro
New York City II meet Philadelphia Union II on August 1, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.
Recent form (W-D-L): New York City II 1-1-2, Philadelphia Union II 1-3-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 New York City II — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · New York City II): model 47% · market 38% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win New York City II 38.5%, draw 24.0%, win Philadelphia Union II 37.5%. Model favourite — New York City II.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.46 68.5% | 1.51 66.2% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.83 35.3% | |
| X | 2.41 41.5% |
| 2.92 34.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
Filadelfiya II
Philadelphia Union II
Kolambus Kryu 2
Full head-to-head historyNew York City II - Philadelphia Union II
The New York City II - Philadelphia Union II breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
