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30.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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USA. MLS Next Pro
Sent-Luis Siti 2 - Real Monarks
S
Sent-Luis Siti 2
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:
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Not started
R
Real Monarks
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Real Monarks — 55%
Pure model vs market (2 · Real Monarks): model 44% · market 36% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Sent-Luis Siti 2 25.1%, draw 20.2%, win Real Monarks 54.6%. Model favourite — Real Monarks.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Real Monarks (odds2.50)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Real Monarks: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.50)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sent-Luis Siti 2 - Real Monarks July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Sent-Luis Siti 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.50 / 2 2.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.5%
1
38.5%
X
25.6%
2
35.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sent-Luis Siti 2 - Real Monarks
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Sent-Luis Siti 2
38.5%
25.1%
market favourite
Draw
25.6%
20.2%
draw risk
Real Monarks
35.9%
54.6%
Glicko contrarian
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
25.1% / 20.2% / 54.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,227 / 1,432
Sent-Luis Siti 2 / Real Monarks
RD
173 / 165
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
881-1,572 / 1,103-1,761
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.50
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 54.6%
X
3.50
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.33
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 25.1%
Double chance
12
1.26
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 79.8%
1X
1.47
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 45.4%
X2
1.53
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 74.9%
Handicap
2 0
1.93
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.78
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.60
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% |
| x2 | 1.53 65.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | |
| 1.93 51.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 2.33 42.9% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.50 40.0% |
Match center
Sent-Luis Siti 2
D
L
L
L
D
Sent-Luis Siti 2
1:1
Vankuver 2
Sent-Luis Siti 2
1:2
Portlend Timbers 2
Sent-Luis Siti 2
1:2
Khyuston Dinamo 2
Sent-Luis Siti 2
0:3
Severnyy Tekhas
Sent-Luis Siti 2
1:1
Kolorado Repids 2
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
2
Points
Real Monarks
L
L
W
D
W
Real Monarks
0:1
Portlend Timbers 2
Real Monarks
2:4
Takoma Defins
Real Monarks
2:1
Vankuver 2
Real Monarks
2:2
Los-Andzheles FK 2
Real Monarks
4:1
Portlend Timbers 2
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySent-Luis Siti 2 - Real Monarks
Sent-Luis Siti 2
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Sent-Luis Siti 2 - Real Monarks breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form