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USA. MLS Next Pro
USA. MLS Next Pro
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

USA. MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City II - Real Monarchs

Football
S
St. Louis City II
- : -
Not started
Real Monarchs
Real Monarchs

St. Louis City II go head-to-head with Real Monarchs on August 1, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.

Recent form (W-D-L): St. Louis City II 0-2-3, Real Monarchs 1-1-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Real Monarchs55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Real Monarchs): model 44% · market 28% Δ +16 pp model estimates above the market

1 · St. Louis City II25.1%
X · draw20.2%
2 · Real Monarchs54.6%

Model estimate: win St. Louis City II 25.1%, draw 20.2%, win Real Monarchs 54.6%. Model favourite — Real Monarchs.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Real Monarchs (odds2.50) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Real Monarks: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.50)
  • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction St. Louis City II - Real Monarchs August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: St. Louis City II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.80 / 2 3.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 46.8%
X 24.9%
2 28.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

MLS Next Pro
League table
St. Louis City II
#1827 ptsGP 207-6-731:33
Real Monarchs
#2422 ptsGP 206-4-1031:36
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
St. Louis City II
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 1.00 Conceded 2.10 xG 1.83 xGA 1.43
Real Monarchs
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.50 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.80 xGA 1.61

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
St. Louis City II
Rating 1495
Real Monarchs
Rating 1437

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

St. Louis City II 3 : 1 Real Monarchs

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 46.8% @ 2.02 / X 24.9% @ 3.80 / 2 28.2% @ 3.35
Match center

St. Louis City II - Real Monarchs

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
St. Louis City II 45.2% 25.1% market favourite
Draw 25.4% 20.2% draw risk
Real Monarchs 29.4% 54.6% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.1% / 20.2% / 54.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,227 / 1,432 Sent-Luis Siti 2 / Real Monarks
RD 173 / 165 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 881-1,572 / 1,102-1,762 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 54.6%
X 3.78 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.01 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 25.1%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 79.8%
1X 1.30 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 45.4%
X2 1.74 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 74.9%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.46 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.55 39.2%
X 2.49 40.2%
3.80 26.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.23 44.8%
Under 1.5 1.64 61.0%
Match center
St. Louis City II
D L L L D
26.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
St. Louis City II 1:1 Vankuver 2
18.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
St. Louis City II 1:2 Portlend Timbers 2
11.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
St. Louis City II 1:2 Khyuston Dinamo 2
04.07 22:45 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
St. Louis City II 0:3 Severnyy Tekhas
06.06 22:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
St. Louis City II 1:1 Kolorado Repids 2Kolorado Repids 2
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Real Monarchs
L L W D
26.07 18:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Real Monarchs 0:1 Portlend Timbers 2
19.07 23:30 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Real Monarchs 2:4 Takoma DefinsTakoma Defins
12.07 00:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Real Monarchs 2:1 Vankuver 2
05.07 23:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Real Monarchs 2:2 Los-Andzheles FK 2
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points