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USA. MLS Next Pro

31.07.2026 00:00 UTC

Not started

USA. MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance - Saint Catharines Roma

Football

Tacoma Defiance

- : -

Not started

Saint Catharines Roma

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tacoma Defiance — 68%

1 · Tacoma Defiance ✓ Pick67.5%

market51%

X · draw16.8%

market23%

2 · Saint Catharines Roma15.7%

market26%

Model estimate: win Tacoma Defiance 67.5%, draw 16.8%, win Saint Catharines Roma 15.7%. Model favourite — Tacoma Defiance.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tacoma Defiance (odds1.82) Score 2:0 confidence 68%

• Model backs Takoma Defins: probability 68% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
• edge over the line +13 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tacoma Defiance - Saint Catharines Roma July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Tacoma Defiance. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.90 / 2 3.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%

1 ✓ Pick 50.6%

X 23.4%

2 26.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 00:00 UTC

Match center

Tacoma Defiance - Saint Catharines Roma

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tacoma Defiance 49.7% 67.5% market and model agree

Draw 24.5% 16.8% draw risk

Saint Catharines Roma 25.9% 15.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 67.5% / 16.8% / 15.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,726 / 1,267 Tacoma Defiance / Saint Catharines Roma

RD 215 / 177 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,296-2,156 / 913-1,621 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.50 market consensus · no value · model 15.7%

X 3.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.80 market consensus · value +21.5% · model 67.5%

Double chance

12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 83.2%

1X 1.26 market consensus · value +6.2% · model 84.3%

X2 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 32.5%

Handicap

2 0 2.75 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.21 82.6%
1x	1.26 79.4%
x2	1.90 52.6%

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity
	1.40 71.4%
	2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome	Betcity
Over 3.5	2.13 47.0%
Under 3.5	1.63 61.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Betcity
	1.80 55.6%
X	3.90 25.6%
	3.50 28.6%

Match center

Tacoma Defiance

W W W L

27.07 00:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Tacoma Defiance 2:1 Kolorado Repids 2

19.07 23:30 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Tacoma Defiance 4:2 Real Monarks

12.07 22:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Tacoma Defiance 1:0 San Jose Earthquakes II

06.07 00:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Tacoma Defiance 0:2 Portlend Timbers 2

3 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.3 Conceded

9 Points

Saint Catharines Roma

D L L D D

26.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Saint Catharines Roma 1:1 Sent-Luis Siti 2

22.07 23:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Saint Catharines Roma 0:4 Ostin FK II

12.07 00:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Saint Catharines Roma 1:2 Real Monarks

07.07 23:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Saint Catharines Roma 0:0 Ventura County

10.06 23:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings

Saint Catharines Roma 1:1 Severnyy Tekhas

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTacoma Defiance - Saint Catharines Roma

Tacoma Defiance

0 matches total

Saint Catharines Roma

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Tacoma Defiance - Saint Catharines Roma

AI match prediction Tacoma Defiance - Saint Catharines Roma July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Tacoma Defiance - Saint Catharines Roma

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Double chance

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history