Chicago Fire go head-to-head with Necaxa on August 7, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Chicago Fire 3-0-2, Necaxa 2-1-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Chicago Fire — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Chicago Fire): model 52% · market 59%Δ −7 ppmodel estimates below the market
58%1
1 · Chicago Fire ✓ Pick58.1%
market59%
X · draw22.0%
market22%
2 · Necaxa19.9%
market19%
Model estimate: win Chicago Fire 58.1%, draw 22.0%, win Necaxa 19.9%. Model favourite — Chicago Fire.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Chicago Fire (odds2.28)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Chikago Fayr: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
•edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chicago Fire - Necaxa August 7, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Chicago Fire. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 4.20 / 2 5.30
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.9%
6 books
1 ✓ Pick58.5%
X22.0%
219.5%
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.55→ 1.55
1X2 X4.20→ 4.20
1X2 P25.30→ 5.30
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues Cup
Best price
across 14 books
11.621xBet
X4.25Unibet
25.50Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 02:05 UTC
154%✓ favourite
X25%
221%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1
Per AI dataForm:VVP / PNVH2H: 0-0Injuries:Mbokazi, Franco, RoseroKey:Lewandowski form
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 02:09 UTC
150%✓ favourite
X24%
226%
Score1:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:Double chance 1X (Chikago Fayr ne proigraet)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
54%
25%
21%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
Claude
50%
24%
26%
1:1
Over 2.5
Yes
Double chance 1X (Chikago Fayr ne proigraet)
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Chicago Fire58.5%58.1%market and model agree
Draw22.0%22.0%draw risk
Necaxa19.5%19.9%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P258.1% / 22.0% / 19.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,541 / 1,394
Chikago Fayr / Nekaksa
RD248 / 244
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,045-2,037 / 906-1,881
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
25.30
Fonbet · no value · model 19.9%
X4.20
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.55
Fonbet · no value · model 58.1%
Double chance
121.20
Fonbet · no value · model 78.0%
1X1.14
Fonbet · no value · model 80.1%
X22.35
Fonbet · no value · model 41.9%
Handicap
2 -11.85
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.52.09
market consensus · line only
2 +17.30
Fonbet · line only
2 03.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.17
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.65
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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