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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2026 00:00 UTC Cup lig MLS + MX. 1-y Round
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings

Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union

Football
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
- : -
Not started
P
Philadelphia Union

Cruz Azul face Philadelphia Union on August 7, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cruz Azul 3-1-1, Philadelphia Union 3-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Cruz Azul40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cruz Azul): model 58% · market 39% Δ +19 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Cruz Azul40.1%
X · draw26.3%
2 · Philadelphia Union33.6%

Model estimate: win Cruz Azul 40.1%, draw 26.3%, win Philadelphia Union 33.6%. Model favourite — Cruz Azul.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cruz Azul (odds1.76) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • Model backs Krus Asul: probability 57% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cruz Azul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / X 3.50 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6% 6 books · best price +2.9%
1 39.0%
X 26.7%
2 34.4%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.45 → 2.45
1X2 X 3.50 → 3.50
1X2 P2 2.70 → 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Leagues Cup
Best price across 14 books
1 2.50 Betano
X 3.70 Bet365
2 2.88 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cruz Azul
W-D-L 0-8-2 Scored 0.79 Conceded 1.87 xG 1.74 xGA 1.26 Corners 3.8
Philadelphia Union
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.72 Conceded 1.30 Corners 5.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cruz Azul 2 : 1 Philadelphia Union
12.42
X3.38
22.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 38.4% @ 2.45 / X 26.8% @ 3.50 / 2 34.8% @ 2.70
Match center

Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union

football, Krus Asul - Filadelfiya Yunion, 7 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Krus Asul - Filadelfiya Yunion, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Cup lig MLS + MX, Cup lig MLS + MX. 1-y Round.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cruz Azul 39.0% 40.1% market and model agree
Draw 26.7% 26.3% draw risk
Philadelphia Union 34.4% 33.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.1% / 26.3% / 33.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,518 / 1,237 Krus Asul / Filadelfiya Yunion
RD 224 / 262 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,070-1,965 / 713-1,761 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 33.6%
X 3.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.45 Fonbet · no value · model 40.1%
Double chance
12 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 73.7%
1X 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 66.4%
X2 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 59.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.75 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.45 69.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.39 71.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
x2 1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.81 35.6%
X 2.35 42.6%
3.05 32.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.5 2.28 43.9%
Under 1 2.25 44.4%
Under 1.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls
2024-08-05 · Krus Asul 1:1 Filadelfiya Yunion
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.5 (Pari) · X 3.6 (Winline) · 2 2.75 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.5 3.35 2.75
Winline 1.85 3.6 1.96
Fonbet 2.5 3.35 2.75
Betcity 2.5 3.3 2.75
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Cruz Azul
L W W W D
2026-08-02 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2:3 Atlante
2026-07-26 Campeon de Campeones Liga MX 2026
Cruz Azul Toluca 1:3 Cruz Azul
2026-07-22 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2:1 Puebla
2026-07-18 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Cruz Azul Atletico San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul
2026-07-05 Club Friendly Games 2026
Cruz Azul Atletico Morelia 3:3 Cruz Azul
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
10 Points
Philadelphia Union
W W W L D
2026-08-01 MLS 2026
Philadelphia Union 3:2 Atlanta United Philadelphia Union
2026-07-25 MLS 2026
Philadelphia Union 1:0 Seattle Sounders Philadelphia Union
2026-07-22 MLS 2026
Philadelphia Union 3:1 New York Red Bulls Philadelphia Union
2026-05-24 MLS 2026
Inter Miami 6:4 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
2026-05-16 MLS 2026
Philadelphia Union 1:1 Columbus Crew Philadelphia Union
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Cruz Azul
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Philadelphia Union
Cruz Azul Team comparison Philadelphia Union
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Krus Asul Filadelfiya Yunion 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 50% 0% 50% Double chance 25% 50% 25% Materialy po prognozam «Inter Mayami» — «Krus Asul». Lionel Messi otmetit kapitanskuyu povyazku CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330558' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup lig MLS + MX Turnirnaya Standings