North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union
Cruz Azul face Philadelphia Union on August 7, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cruz Azul 3-1-1, Philadelphia Union 3-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Cruz Azul — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cruz Azul): model 58% · market 39% Δ +19 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Cruz Azul 40.1%, draw 26.3%, win Philadelphia Union 33.6%. Model favourite — Cruz Azul.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Krus Asul: probability 57% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union August 7, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / X 3.50 / 2 2.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues CupHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union
football, Krus Asul - Filadelfiya Yunion, 7 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Krus Asul - Filadelfiya Yunion, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Cup lig MLS + MX, Cup lig MLS + MX. 1-y Round.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.60 38.5% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.39 71.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.81 35.6% | |
| X | 2.35 42.6% |
| 3.05 32.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.5 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| Winline | 1.85 | 3.6 | 1.96 |
| Fonbet | 2.5 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| Betcity | 2.5 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
Cruz Azul
Full head-to-head historyCruz Azul - Philadelphia Union
Match history
Krus Asul Filadelfiya Yunion 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 50% 0% 50% Double chance 25% 50% 25% Materialy po prognozam «Inter Mayami» — «Krus Asul». Lionel Messi otmetit kapitanskuyu povyazku CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330558' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup lig MLS + MX Turnirnaya Standings
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form