New York City meet Santos Laguna on August 6, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): New York City 2-1-2, Santos Laguna 1-0-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1New York City — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · New York City): model 59% · market 61%Δ −2 ppmodel estimate matches the market
61%1
1 · New York City ✓ Pick60.5%
market61%
X · draw21.8%
market22%
2 · Santos Laguna17.6%
market17%
Model estimate: win New York City 60.5%, draw 21.8%, win Santos Laguna 17.6%. Model favourite — New York City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1New York City (odds1.78)Score 2:1confidence 56%
•Model backs Nyu-York Siti: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
•no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
•Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction New York City - Santos Laguna August 6, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: New York City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 4.30 / 2 5.40
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.3%
4 books
1 ✓ Pick60.7%
X21.9%
217.4%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.55→ 1.55
1X2 X4.30→ 4.30
1X2 P25.40→ 5.40
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues Cup
Best price
across 14 books
11.62Betano
X4.40Unibet
25.75Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
New York City3:1Santos Laguna
11.55
X4.20
25.27
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 01:02 UTC
155%✓ favourite
X25%
220%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1X and Over 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0-0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 01:06 UTC
158%✓ favourite
X23%
219%
Score2:0Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:Double chance 1X (~81%), v svyazke s Under 3.5
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
55%
25%
20%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
1X and Over 2.5
Claude
58%
23%
19%
2:0
Under 3.5
No
Double chance 1X (~81%), v svyazke s Under 3.5
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
New York City60.7%60.5%market and model agree
Draw21.9%21.8%draw risk
Santos Laguna17.4%17.6%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P260.5% / 21.8% / 17.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,601 / 1,298
Nyu-York Siti / Santos Laguna
RD246 / 219
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,110-2,092 / 859-1,736
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
25.40
Fonbet · no value · model 17.6%
X4.30
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.55
Fonbet · no value · model 60.5%
Double chance
121.20
Fonbet · no value · model 78.2%
1X1.13
Fonbet · no value · model 82.4%
X22.35
Fonbet · no value · model 39.5%
Handicap
2 -11.90
Fonbet · line only
2 +11.88
market consensus · line only
2 03.80
Fonbet · line only
1 -11.85
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.53
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.35
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.25
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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