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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC MLS
Not started

USA. MLS

Chicago Fire - Charlotte

Football
Stadium Soldzher Fild (Chikago, Illinoys, USA), vmestimost: 63500
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
- : -
Not started
C
Charlotte

Chicago Fire take on Charlotte on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chicago Fire 1-0-1, Charlotte 1-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Chicago Fire, an implied 62% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chicago Fire61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chicago Fire): model 34% · market 62% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Chicago Fire ✓ Pick60.9%
market62%
X · draw20.2%
market20%
2 · Charlotte18.8%
market17%

Model estimate: win Chicago Fire 60.9%, draw 20.2%, win Charlotte 18.8%. Model favourite — Chicago Fire.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Charlotte (odds2.35) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Sharlott: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Fire - Charlotte August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chicago Fire.

Line favourite market consensus: Chicago Fire. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.63 / 2 5.44
  • 1X2 market: Chicago Fire 62.3% / X 20.4% / Charlotte 17.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 62.4%
X 20.3%
2 17.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
Chicago Fire
#726 ptsGP 168-2-630:22
Charlotte
#1225 ptsGP 177-4-628:25
Best price across 12 books
1 1.55 Betano
X 4.92 Pinnacle
2 5.70 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Chicago Fire
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.71 xG 1.98 xGA 1.33 Corners 4.6
Charlotte
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.59 xG 1.50 xGA 1.53 Corners 4.4

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
A. Saint-Maximin — Inactive C. Mueller — Inactive André Franco — Knee Injury N. Berchimas — International duty C. Cupps — International duty M. Mbokazi — Lower-Body Injury A. John — Upper-Body Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)
Chicago Fire
Rating 1517 xG 1.83 Win 58%
Charlotte
Rating 1518 xG 0.95 Win 19%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Chicago Fire 2 : 2 Charlotte
11.53
X5.13
25.45

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Soldzher Fild (Chikago, Illinoys, USA), vmestimost: 63500
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 62.4% @ 1.51 / X 20.3% @ 4.63 / 2 17.3% @ 5.44
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Chicago Fire 61%
💹 Market Chicago Fire 6229%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Chicago Fire - Charlotte

football, Chikago Fayr - Sharlott, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Chikago Fayr - Sharlott, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship USA po futbolu 2026 MLS (MLS), MLS.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chicago Fire 62.7% 60.9% market and model agree
Draw 20.1% 20.2% draw risk
Charlotte 17.2% 18.8%
xG - 1.83 : 0.95

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 60.9% / 20.2% / 18.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,613 Chicago Fire / Charlotte
RD 291 / 253 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,983 / 1,107-2,119 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.44 market consensus · no value · model 18.8%
X 4.63 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.9%
Double chance
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 79.8%
1X 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 81.2%
X2 2.47 market consensus · no value · model 39.1%
Handicap
2 +1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.39 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.85 20.6% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.90 20.4%
5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.70 17.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.39 41.8%
yes 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5%
x2 2.50 40.0% 2.43 41.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 19.00 5.3%
0_1 17.00 5.9%
0_2 31.00 3.2%
0_3 67.00 1.5%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 31.00 3.2%
1_4 76.00 1.3%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 11.00 9.1%
3_1 9.00 11.1%
3_2 13.00 7.7%
Match center
Chicago Fire
W L
25.07 21:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Chicago Fire 2:0 Nyu-York Siti
22.07 21:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Chicago Fire 2:3 Inter Mayami
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Charlotte
W D
25.07 20:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Charlotte 2:0 Nyu-York Red Bulls
22.07 22:15 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Charlotte 2:2 Atlanta
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChicago Fire - Charlotte

Chicago Fire
0 matches total
Charlotte
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Chicago Fire
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Charlotte
Chicago Fire Team comparison Charlotte
16 Games 17
8 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
30 Scored 28
22 Conceded 25
26 Points 25
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
14.73 Shots on goal 11.19
5.13 Udary v stvor 4.59
16 Games 17
8 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
30 Scored 28
22 Conceded 25

Chikago Fayr Sharlott 16 Games 17 8 Wins 7 2 Draws 4 6 Losses 6 30 Scored 28 22 Conceded 25 26 Points 25 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14.73 Shots on goal 11.19 5.13 Udary v stvor 4.59 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.44 Uglovye 4.35 1.56 Offsaydy 1 13.06 Foly 8.82 53.06 % vladeniya myachom 46.71 2.44 Warnings 2.18 0.06 Sendoffs 0.06 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Gregg Berkhalter Glavnye trenery Din Smit Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 71% 0% 29% Double chance 36% 49% 15% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1297322' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');