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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
02.08.2026 01:30 UTC
02.08.2026 01:30 UTC
Not started

USA. MLS

Colorado Rapids - Austin

Football
C
Colorado Rapids
- : -
Not started
A
Austin

Colorado Rapids meet Austin on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

Recent form (W-D-L): Colorado Rapids 1-0-1, Austin 1-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Colorado Rapids — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Colorado Rapids): model 56% · market 54% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Colorado Rapids53.9%
X · draw23.5%
2 · Austin22.6%

Model estimate: win Colorado Rapids 53.9%, draw 23.5%, win Austin 22.6%. Model favourite — Colorado Rapids.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Colorado Rapids (odds1.96) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Kolorado Repids: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.96)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colorado Rapids - Austin August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Colorado Rapids. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 4.00 / 2 4.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 54.2%
X 23.7%
2 22.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
Colorado Rapids
#2319 ptsGP 176-1-1026:25
Austin
#2617 ptsGP 174-5-822:35
Best price across 12 books
1 1.78 Pinnacle
X 4.07 Pinnacle
2 4.50 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Colorado Rapids
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.39 xGA 1.83 Corners 4.7
Austin
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.40 Conceded 2.40 xG 1.29 xGA 1.70 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
R. Holding — Red Card M. Desler — Achilles Tendon Injury Z. Steffen — Shoulder Injury T. Ku-DiPietro — Shoulder Injury J. Bell — Pelvis Injury J. Travis — Ankle Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)
Colorado Rapids
Rating 1493 xG 1.57 Win 51%
Austin
Rating 1450 xG 1.01 Win 24%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 01:30 UTC
Market 1 54.2% @ 1.75 / X 23.7% @ 4.00 / 2 22.1% @ 4.30
Match center

Colorado Rapids - Austin

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Colorado Rapids 53.7% 53.9% market and model agree
Draw 23.7% 23.5% draw risk
Austin 22.6% 22.6%
xG - 1.55 : 1.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.9% / 23.5% / 22.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,600 / 1,363 Colorado Rapids / Austin
RD 291 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,017-2,182 / 856-1,870 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 market consensus · no value · model 22.6%
X 3.92 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 53.9%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.5%
1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 77.4%
X2 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 46.1%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6%
x2 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.28 43.9%
X 2.44 41.0%
4.70 21.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 2.26 44.3%
Match center
Colorado Rapids
L W
25.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Colorado Rapids 0:2 Sent-Luis SitiSent-Luis Siti
22.07 23:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Colorado Rapids 1:0 San-Diego
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Austin
L W
25.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Austin 0:3 Khyuston DinamoKhyuston Dinamo
22.07 23:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Austin 3:1 Sietl SaundersSietl Saunders
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyColorado Rapids - Austin

Colorado Rapids
0 matches total
Austin
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history