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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
02.08.2026 02:30 UTC
02.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Not started

USA. MLS

Los Angeles Galaxy - FC Dallas

Football
L
Los Angeles Galaxy
- : -
Not started
F
FC Dallas

Los Angeles Galaxy take on FC Dallas on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

Recent form (W-D-L): Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1-2, FC Dallas 0-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Los Angeles Galaxy — 42%

Pure model vs market (1 · Los Angeles Galaxy): model 29% · market 44% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Los Angeles Galaxy42.4%
X · draw24.3%
2 · FC Dallas33.3%

Model estimate: win Los Angeles Galaxy 42.4%, draw 24.3%, win FC Dallas 33.3%. Model favourite — Los Angeles Galaxy.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FC Dallas (odds2.85) Score 1:2 confidence 57%
  • • Model backs Dallas: probability 57% vs 35% on the line (odds 2.85)
  • • edge over the line +22 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Los Angeles Galaxy - FC Dallas August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Los Angeles Galaxy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.90 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 44.0%
X 24.4%
2 31.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
Los Angeles Galaxy
#2021 ptsGP 185-6-724:29
FC Dallas
#926 ptsGP 177-5-532:25
Best price across 12 books
1 2.21 SBO
X 3.96 Pinnacle
2 3.11 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Los Angeles Galaxy
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.50 xGA 1.69 Corners 5.0
FC Dallas
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.54 xGA 1.70 Corners 4.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
Riqui Puig — Knee Injury Joao Klauss — Foot Injury Ramiro — Lower-Body Injury Daniel — Injury E. Thommy — Injury Geovane Jesus — Knee Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)
Los Angeles Galaxy
Rating 1472 xG 1.32 Win 39%
FC Dallas
Rating 1579 xG 1.23 Win 34%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Los Angeles Galaxy 2 : 2 FC Dallas
12.09
X4.70
22.66

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Market 1 44.0% @ 2.16 / X 24.4% @ 3.90 / 2 31.7% @ 3.00
Match center

Los Angeles Galaxy - FC Dallas

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Los Angeles Galaxy 43.2% 42.4% market and model agree
Draw 24.5% 24.3% draw risk
FC Dallas 32.3% 33.3%
xG - 1.36 : 1.26

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.4% / 24.3% / 33.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,150 / 1,468 LA Galaxy / Dallas
RD 222 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 706-1,594 / 959-1,977 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · no value · model 33.3%
X 3.82 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.12 market consensus · no value · model 42.4%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.7%
1X 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 66.7%
X2 1.68 market consensus · no value · model 57.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.27 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.65 37.7%
yes 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
x2 1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.65 37.7%
X 2.50 40.0%
3.50 28.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.19 45.7%
Under 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Los Angeles Galaxy
D L L
26.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Los Angeles Galaxy 1:1 San-Khose Ertkveyks
23.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3 Sent-Luis SitiSent-Luis Siti
18.07 00:25 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Los Angeles Galaxy 0:3 Los-Andzheles FK
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
2.3 Conceded
1 Points
FC Dallas
L D
25.07 23:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
FC Dallas 0:1 San-Diego
23.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
FC Dallas 2:2 Portlend TimbersPortlend Timbers
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points