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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
01.08.2026 23:30 UTC
01.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

USA. MLS

CF Montreal - New England Revolution

Football
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
- : -
Not started
N
New England Revolution

CF Montreal face New England Revolution on August 1, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

Recent form (W-D-L): CF Montreal 0-1-2, New England Revolution 1-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 CF Montreal — 45%

Pure model vs market (1 · CF Montreal): model 40% · market 46% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · CF Montreal45.3%
X · draw26.0%
2 · New England Revolution28.7%

Model estimate: win CF Montreal 45.3%, draw 26.0%, win New England Revolution 28.7%. Model favourite — CF Montreal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1CF Montreal (odds2.57) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Monreal: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.57)
  • • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CF Montreal - New England Revolution August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: CF Montreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.60 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 45.8%
X 26.3%
2 27.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
CF Montreal
#2715 ptsGP 174-3-1022:33
New England Revolution
#629 ptsGP 169-2-526:19
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
CF Montreal
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.39 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.46 xGA 1.61 Corners 6.0
New England Revolution
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.39 xGA 1.45 Corners 4.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
L. Campana — Hamstring Injury A. Yusuf — Injury F. Amaya — Lower-Body Injury A. Farrell — Lower-Body Injury B. Ceballos — Inactive B. Hidalgo — Groin Injury W. Carmona — Knee Injury T. Gillier — Concussion I. Feingold — Lower-Body Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)
CF Montreal
Rating 1397
New England Revolution
Rating 1524

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 45.8% @ 2.07 / X 26.3% @ 3.60 / 2 27.9% @ 3.40
Match center

CF Montreal - New England Revolution

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
CF Montreal 45.7% 45.3% market and model agree
Draw 26.1% 26.0% draw risk
New England Revolution 28.2% 28.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 45.3% / 26.0% / 28.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,558 / 1,640 Montreal / New England Revolution
RD 185 / 242 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,189-1,928 / 1,155-2,125 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 market consensus · no value · model 28.7%
X 3.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.05 market consensus · no value · model 45.3%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 74.0%
1X 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 71.3%
X2 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 54.7%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.47 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.28 43.9%
yes 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.65 37.7%
X 2.35 42.6%
3.90 25.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.18 45.9%
Match center
CF Montreal
L L D
25.07 21:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
CF Montreal 0:1 Inter Mayami
22.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
CF Montreal 0:1 NeshvillNeshvill
16.07 21:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
CF Montreal 0:0 TorontoToronto
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
1 Points
New England Revolution
W D
25.07 21:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
New England Revolution 4:1 Atlanta
22.07 21:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
New England Revolution 0:0 TorontoToronto
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points