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USA. MLS

01.08.2026 00:45 UTC

Not started

USA. MLS

Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders

Football

Portland Timbers

- : -

Not started

Seattle Sounders

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Portland Timbers — 69%

1 · Portland Timbers ✓ Pick69.0%

market46%

X · draw15.6%

market24%

2 · Seattle Sounders15.4%

market30%

Model estimate: win Portland Timbers 69.0%, draw 15.6%, win Seattle Sounders 15.4%. Model favourite — Portland Timbers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Portland Timbers (odds2.12) Score 2:0 confidence 69%

• Model backs Portlend Timbers: probability 69% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
• edge over the line +22 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Portland Timbers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 4.10 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 ✓ Pick 45.9%

X 23.7%

2 30.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer

League table

Portland Timbers

#1921 ptsGP 176-3-831:32

ARRAY

Seattle Sounders

#1424 ptsGP 167-3-619:20

ARRAY

Best price across 12 books

1 2.20 SBO

X 4.00 Pinnacle

2 3.15 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Portland Timbers

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 2.01 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.52 xGA 2.01 Corners 6.0

Seattle Sounders

W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.29 Conceded 1.81 xG 1.85 xGA 1.27 Corners 5.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Portland Timbers

Rating 1506 xG 1.37 Win 40%

Seattle Sounders

Rating 1499 xG 1.22 Win 33%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 00:45 UTC

Match center

Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Portland Timbers 44.4% 69.0% market and model agree

Draw 24.2% 15.6% draw risk

Seattle Sounders 31.4% 15.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 69.0% / 15.6% / 15.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,701 / 1,157 Portland Timbers / Seattle Sounders

RD 234 / 226 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,233-2,168 / 705-1,610 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.03 market consensus · no value · model 15.4%

X 3.92 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.07 market consensus · value +42.7% · model 69.0%

Double chance

12 1.21 market consensus · weak value +2.1% · model 84.4%

1X 1.33 market consensus · value +12.5% · model 84.6%

X2 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 31.0%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.32 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.56 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.75 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.75 36.4%
yes	1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%
1x	1.34 74.6%	1.32 75.8%
x2	1.62 61.7%	1.77 56.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.65 37.7%
X	2.55 39.2%
	3.50 28.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.14 46.7%
Under 1.5	1.69 59.2%

Match center

Portland Timbers

W D W

26.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Portland Timbers 2:1 Real Solt-Leyk

23.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Portland Timbers 2:2 Dallas

17.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Portland Timbers 5:1 Sietl Saunders

2 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.3 Conceded

7 Points

Seattle Sounders

L L L

25.07 21:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Seattle Sounders 0:1 Filadelfiya Yunion

22.07 23:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Seattle Sounders 1:3 Ostin FK

17.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Seattle Sounders 1:5 Portlend Timbers

0 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.7 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPortland Timbers - Seattle Sounders

Portland Timbers

1 matches total

Seattle Sounders

Portland Timbers: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Seattle Sounders: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Portlend Timbers 5:1 (17.07 00:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 17.07 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Portlend Timbers

5:1

Sietl Saunders