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USA. MLS

31.07.2026 22:30 UTC

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USA. MLS

St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

Football

St. Louis City

- : -

Not started

Real Salt Lake

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 St. Louis City — 59%

1 · St. Louis City ✓ Pick59.1%

market44%

X · draw18.4%

market25%

2 · Real Salt Lake22.5%

market31%

Model estimate: win St. Louis City 59.1%, draw 18.4%, win Real Salt Lake 22.5%. Model favourite — St. Louis City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1St. Louis City (odds2.08) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Sent-Luis Siti: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
• edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: St. Louis City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.80 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%

1 ✓ Pick 43.9%

X 24.7%

2 31.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer

League table

St. Louis City

#1325 ptsGP 177-4-623:23

ARRAY

Real Salt Lake

#926 ptsGP 168-2-628:24

ARRAY

Best price across 12 books

1 2.22 Betano

X 3.90 Betfair

2 3.19 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

St. Louis City

W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.58 xGA 1.46 Corners 6.0

Real Salt Lake

W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.80 xGA 1.52 Corners 4.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

St. Louis City

Rating 1546 xG 1.39 Win 40%

Real Salt Lake

Rating 1540 xG 1.24 Win 34%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 22:30 UTC

Match center

St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

Form 3/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

St. Louis City - 59.1% model pick

Draw - 18.4% draw risk

Real Salt Lake - 22.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 59.1% / 18.4% / 22.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,585 / 1,435 St. Louis City / Duluth FC

RD 294 / 288 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 997-2,173 / 860-2,011 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.00 market consensus · no value · model 22.5%

X 3.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.14 market consensus · value +26.4% · model 59.1%

Double chance

12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 81.6%

1X 1.36 market consensus · value +5.4% · model 77.5%

X2 1.66 market consensus · no value · model 40.9%

Handicap

2 0 2.25 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.24 80.7%
1x	1.36 73.5%
x2	1.66 60.2%

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity
	1.60 62.5%
	2.25 44.4%

Total

Outcome	Betcity
Over 3.5	2.27 44.1%
Under 3.5	1.59 62.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Betcity
	2.14 46.7%
X	3.80 26.3%
	3.00 33.3%

Match center

St. Louis City

W W L

25.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

St. Louis City 2:0 Kolorado Repids

23.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

St. Louis City 3:1 Los-Andzheles Galaksi

16.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

St. Louis City 0:1 Sporting Kanzas-Siti

2 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.7 Scored

0.7 Conceded

6 Points

Real Salt Lake

L L

26.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Real Salt Lake 1:2 Portlend Timbers

23.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings

Real Salt Lake 0:3 Los-Andzheles FK

0 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.5 Scored

2.5 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySt. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

St. Louis City

0 matches total

Real Salt Lake

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

AI match prediction St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Double chance

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history