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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
30.07.2026 22:30 UTC
30.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Not started

USA. MLS

Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo

Football
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
- : -
Not started
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sporting Kansas City — 48%

1 · Sporting Kansas City48.3%
X · draw19.6%
2 · Houston Dynamo32.1%

Model estimate: win Sporting Kansas City 48.3%, draw 19.6%, win Houston Dynamo 32.1%. Model favourite — Sporting Kansas City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sporting Kansas City (odds4.00) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Sporting Kanzas-Siti: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 4.00)
  • • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Houston Dynamo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.50 / X 3.60 / 2 1.87

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 26.0%
X 25.3%
2 48.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Match center

Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sporting Kansas City 22.8% 48.3% Glicko contrarian
Draw 23.4% 19.6% draw risk
Houston Dynamo 53.9% 32.1% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.3% / 19.6% / 32.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,600 / 1,679 Sporting Kansas City / Houston Dynamo
RD 291 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,017-2,182 / 1,181-2,177 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.87 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 32.1%
X 3.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.50 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.3%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.4%
1X 1.83 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 67.9%
X2 1.26 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.42 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.83 54.6%
x2 1.26 79.4%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
2.65 37.7%
1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
3.50 28.6%
X 3.60 27.8%
1.87 53.5%
Match center
Sporting Kansas City
D W W
26.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Sporting Kansas City 0:0 Los-Andzheles FK
22.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Sporting Kansas City 2:1 Minnesota
16.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Sporting Kansas City 1:0 Sent-Luis SitiSent-Luis Siti
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Houston Dynamo
W D
25.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Houston Dynamo 3:0 Ostin FK
22.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Houston Dynamo 1:1 DS Yunayted
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points