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USA: MLS Standings
USA: MLS Standings
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

USA: MLS Standings

Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo

Football
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Finished
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo

Sporting Kansas City face Houston Dynamo on August 2, 2026 in the USA: MLS Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sporting Kansas City 2-1-0, Houston Dynamo 1-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Houston Dynamo48%

Pure model vs market (2 · Houston Dynamo): model 37% · market 42% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sporting Kansas City27.7%
X · draw24.0%
2 · Houston Dynamo48.4%

Model estimate: win Sporting Kansas City 27.7%, draw 24.0%, win Houston Dynamo 48.4%. Model favourite — Houston Dynamo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sporting Kansas City (odds4.00) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Sporting Kanzas-Siti: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 4.00)
  • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Houston Dynamo.

Line favourite market consensus: Houston Dynamo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.45 / 2 2.28
  • Glicko: Sporting Kansas City 27.7% / X 24.0% / Houston Dynamo 48.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 30.7%
X 27.6%
2 41.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
Sporting Kansas City
#2814 ptsGP 174-2-1118:44
Houston Dynamo
#1126 ptsGP 168-2-623:24
Best price across 12 books
1 3.24 Pinnacle
X 3.60 10Bet
2 2.31 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sporting Kansas City
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.10 Conceded 2.70 xG 1.14 xGA 2.38 Corners 4.0
Houston Dynamo
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.31 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.50 xGA 1.53 Corners 2.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
Antonio Carlos — Knee Injury J. Maurer — Concussion I. Aliyu — Lower-Body Injury J. Reynolds — Muscle Injury T. Calheira — Ankle Injury Diego Borges — Muscle Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)
Sporting Kansas City
Rating 1392 xG 1.09 Win 27%
Houston Dynamo
Rating 1534 xG 1.50 Win 47%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sporting Kansas City 1 : 2 Houston Dynamo
13.51
X3.70
21.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 30.7% @ 3.10 / X 27.6% @ 3.45 / 2 41.7% @ 2.28
Match center

Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.815 / LogLoss 1.285
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.815 / LogLoss 1.285
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sporting Kansas City 26.9% 27.7%
Draw 24.0% 24.0% draw risk
Houston Dynamo 49.1% 48.4% market and model agree
xG - 1.08 : 1.54
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.7% / 24.0% / 48.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,600 / 1,679 Sporting Kanzas-Siti / Khyuston Dinamo
RD 291 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,017-2,182 / 1,181-2,177 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.26 market consensus · weak value +9.4% · model 48.4%
X 3.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.05 market consensus · no value · model 27.7%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 76.0%
1X 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 51.6%
X2 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 72.3%
Handicap
2 -1 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.63 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.46 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3%
x2 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.50 28.6%
X 2.40 41.7%
2.80 35.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 1 2.31 43.3%
Under 1.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Sporting Kansas City
D W W
26.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Sporting Kansas City 0:0 Los-Andzheles FK
22.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Sporting Kansas City 2:1 Minnesota
16.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Sporting Kansas City 1:0 Sent-Luis SitiSent-Luis Siti
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Houston Dynamo
W D
25.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Houston Dynamo 3:0 Ostin FK
22.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Houston Dynamo 1:1 DS Yunayted
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points