USA: MLS Standings
Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City face Houston Dynamo on August 2, 2026 in the USA: MLS Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sporting Kansas City 2-1-0, Houston Dynamo 1-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Houston Dynamo — 48%
Pure model vs market (2 · Houston Dynamo): model 37% · market 42% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sporting Kansas City 27.7%, draw 24.0%, win Houston Dynamo 48.4%. Model favourite — Houston Dynamo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Sporting Kanzas-Siti: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 4.00)
- • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Houston Dynamo.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.45 / 2 2.28
- Glicko: Sporting Kansas City 27.7% / X 24.0% / Houston Dynamo 48.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Major League SoccerHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Source: sstats_content
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.46 40.7% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.59 62.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
| x2 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.50 28.6% | |
| X | 2.40 41.7% |
| 2.80 35.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.31 43.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Sporting Kansas City
Sent-Luis Siti
Houston Dynamo
Full head-to-head historySporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo
Match history
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The Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form