USA: MLS Standings
St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City face Real Salt Lake on August 2, 2026 in the USA: MLS Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): St. Louis City 2-0-1, Real Salt Lake 0-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 St. Louis City — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · St. Louis City): model 52% · market 43% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win St. Louis City 46.1%, draw 24.9%, win Real Salt Lake 29.0%. Model favourite — St. Louis City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Sent-Luis Siti: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.75 / 2 3.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Major League SoccerHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Source: sstats_content
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% |
| yes | 1.52 65.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.47 68.0% |
| x2 | 1.68 59.5% | 1.53 65.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| X | 2.47 40.5% |
| 3.70 27.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
St. Louis City
Sporting Kanzas-Siti
Real Salt Lake
Portlend Timbers
Full head-to-head historySt. Louis City - Real Salt Lake
Match history
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The St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form