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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
MLS 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC MLS
Not started

USA. MLS

St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

Football
Stadium SitiPark (Sent-Luis, USA), vmestimost: 22423
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
- : -
Not started
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake

St. Louis City face Real Salt Lake on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

Recent form (W-D-L): St. Louis City 2-0-1, Real Salt Lake 0-0-2. The bookmaker line makes St. Louis City the favourite at about 47%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 St. Louis City — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · St. Louis City): model 52% · market 47% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · St. Louis City47.0%
X · draw24.7%
2 · Real Salt Lake28.3%

Model estimate: win St. Louis City 47.0%, draw 24.7%, win Real Salt Lake 28.3%. Model favourite — St. Louis City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1St. Louis City (odds2.08) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Sent-Luis Siti: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like St. Louis City.

Line favourite market consensus: St. Louis City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.79 / 2 3.33
  • 1X2 market: St. Louis City 46.8% / X 24.9% / Real Salt Lake 28.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 46.9%
X 24.9%
2 28.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
St. Louis City
#1325 ptsGP 177-4-623:23
Real Salt Lake
#1026 ptsGP 168-2-628:24
Best price across 12 books
1 2.05 Pinnacle
X 3.97 Pinnacle
2 3.50 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
St. Louis City
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.58 xGA 1.46 Corners 6.0
Real Salt Lake
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.80 xGA 1.52 Corners 4.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
M. Guilavogui — Red Card J. Glad — Groin Injury A. Piol — Achilles Tendon Injury E. Eneli — Knee Injury A. Hezarkhani — Toe Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)
St. Louis City
Rating 1546 xG 1.44 Win 43%
Real Salt Lake
Rating 1540 xG 1.18 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

St. Louis City 2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
12.02
X4.32
23.32

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium SitiPark (Sent-Luis, USA), vmestimost: 22423
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 46.9% @ 2.01 / X 24.9% @ 3.79 / 2 28.3% @ 3.33
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model St. Louis City 47%
💹 Market St. Louis City 4684%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

football, Sent-Luis Siti - Real Solt-Leyk, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Sent-Luis Siti - Real Solt-Leyk, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship USA po futbolu 2026 MLS (MLS), MLS.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
St. Louis City 46.6% 47.0% market and model agree
Draw 24.9% 24.7% draw risk
Real Salt Lake 28.5% 28.3%
xG - 1.44 : 1.18

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.0% / 24.7% / 28.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,585 / 1,435 St. Louis City / Duluth FC
RD 294 / 288 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 997-2,173 / 860-2,011 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.29 market consensus · no value · model 28.3%
X 3.78 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 47.0%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 75.3%
1X 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 71.7%
X2 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 53.0%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.17 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.66 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0%
3.20 31.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.21 82.6% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.47 68.0%
x2 1.68 59.5% 1.53 65.4%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 19.00 5.3%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 71.00 1.4%
1_0 9.50 10.5%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 9.50 10.5%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 10.00 10.0%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 9.50 10.5%
2_3 19.00 5.3%
2_4 46.00 2.2%
2_5 101.00 1.0%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
Match center
St. Louis City
W W L
25.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
St. Louis City 2:0 Kolorado Repids
23.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
St. Louis City 3:1 Los-Andzheles Galaksi
16.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
St. Louis City 0:1 Sporting Kanzas-SitiSporting Kanzas-Siti
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
6 Points
Real Salt Lake
L L
26.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Real Salt Lake 1:2 Portlend TimbersPortlend Timbers
23.07 00:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Real Salt Lake 0:3 Los-Andzheles FK
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 St. Louis City
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City Team comparison Real Salt Lake
17 Games 16
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
23 Scored 28
23 Conceded 24
25 Points 26
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
13 Shots on goal 16.08
3.94 Udary v stvor 5.69
17 Games 16
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
23 Scored 28
23 Conceded 24

Sent-Luis Siti Real Solt-Leyk 17 Games 16 7 Wins 8 4 Draws 2 6 Losses 6 23 Scored 28 23 Conceded 24 25 Points 26 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13 Shots on goal 16.08 3.94 Udary v stvor 5.69 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.65 Uglovye 4.75 1.71 Offsaydy 1.88 12.65 Foly 12.06 50.12 % vladeniya myachom 50.06 1.88 Warnings 1.88 0.12 Sendoffs 0.06 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 67% 16% 17% Double chance 42% 41% 17% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1297318' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');