USA. USL
USA. USL
11.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Tampa Bay Rowdies - FC Naples

Futbol
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2 : 0
Finished
FC Naples
FC Naples

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies - FC Naples July 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tampa Bay Rowdies. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 8.50 / 2 15.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 17.4%
1 84.3%
X 10.0%
2 5.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Tampa Bay Rowdies 4 : 0 FC Naples
11.20
X5.60
211.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Tampa Bay Rowdies - FC Naples

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 market consensus · line only
X 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.17 85.5% 1.88 53.2%
yes 4.20 23.8% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 11.00 9.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.63 61.4%
X 2.64 37.9%
8.50 11.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.09 47.9%
Under 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W
06.06 21:00 UTC USA: USL Cup Standings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0 Sporting JaxSporting Jax
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Naples
L
06.06 21:30 UTC USA: USL Cup Standings
FC Naples 0:2 Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points