USA. Women. NWSL
Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Gotham (w) — 54%
Pure model vs market (2 · Gotham (w)): model 37% · market 55% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Bay FC (Zh) 22.6%, draw 23.9%, win Gotham (w) 53.6%. Model favourite — Gotham (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Bay FC (Zh): probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w) July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gotham (w).
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.19 / X 3.75 / 2 1.64
- 1X2 market: Bay FC (Zh) 21.4% / X 24.0% / Gotham (w) 54.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.40 22.7% | 4.27 23.4% | 3.70 27.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.60 21.7% | 3.70 27.0% | |
| X | 3.95 25.3% | 3.74 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.66 60.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_3 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_4 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_5 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_6 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_3 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_4 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_5 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_6 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.52 22.1% | |
| X | 2.29 43.7% |
| 2.21 45.3% |
Yuta Royals (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyBay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w)
Match history
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The Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form