USA. Women. NWSL
Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Bay FC (Zh) — 48%
Model estimate: win Bay FC (Zh) 48.2%, draw 20.1%, win Gotham (w) 31.7%. Model favourite — Bay FC (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Bay FC (Zh): probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w) July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.39 / X 3.60 / 2 1.68
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.79 55.9% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.30 18.9% | |
| X | 2.12 47.2% |
| 2.22 45.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.83 54.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| 2.25 44.4% |
Yuta Royals (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyBay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w)
Match history
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The Bay FC (Zh) - Gotham (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form