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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
31.07.2026 22:45 UTC
Not started

USA. Women. NWSL

Bay FC W - Seattle Reign FC W

Football
B
Bay FC W
- : -
Not started
S
Seattle Reign FC W
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Seattle Reign FC W52%

1 · Bay FC W28.2%
X · draw19.5%
2 · Seattle Reign FC W52.4%

Model estimate: win Bay FC W 28.2%, draw 19.5%, win Seattle Reign FC W 52.4%. Model favourite — Seattle Reign FC W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Seattle Reign FC W (odds2.35) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Reyn (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bay FC W - Seattle Reign FC W July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Bay FC W
#1418 ptsGP 165-3-816:21
ARRAY
Seattle Reign FC W
#1020 ptsGP 156-2-717:19
ARRAY
Best price across 9 books
1 2.20 10Bet
X 3.50 Betfair
2 3.15 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Bay FC W
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.91 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.33 xGA 1.53 Corners 5.1
Seattle Reign FC W
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.01 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.04 xGA 1.61 Corners 3.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Bay FC W
Rating 1408
Seattle Reign FC W
Rating 1501

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 22:45 UTC
Match center

Bay FC W - Seattle Reign FC W

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bay FC W - 28.2%
Draw - 19.5% draw risk
Seattle Reign FC W - 52.4% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.2% / 19.5% / 52.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,523 / 1,754 Bay FC (Zh) / OL Reign (w)
RD 182 / 197 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,159-1,887 / 1,359-2,149 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Bay FC W
L L W W D
30.07 00:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 0:1 Gotem (Zh)
24.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 0:1 Khyuston Desh (Zh)
18.07 18:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 3:0 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
10.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 2:0 Reysing Luisvill (Zh)
05.07 14:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 2:2 Boston Legacy (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Seattle Reign FC W
W D W L
26.07 19:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 2:0 San Diego Wave (Zh)
18.07 14:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 0:0 Gotem (Zh)
12.07 18:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 2:0 Portlend (Zh)
04.07 21:30 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 1:3 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points