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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
02.08.2026 00:45 UTC
02.08.2026 00:45 UTC
Not started

USA. Women. NWSL

Bay FC W - Seattle Reign FC W

Football
B
Bay FC W
- : -
Not started
S
Seattle Reign FC W

Bay FC W face Seattle Reign FC W on August 2, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bay FC W 2-1-2, Seattle Reign FC W 2-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Seattle Reign FC W — 52%

1 · Bay FC W28.2%
X · draw19.5%
2 · Seattle Reign FC W52.3%

Model estimate: win Bay FC W 28.2%, draw 19.5%, win Seattle Reign FC W 52.3%. Model favourite — Seattle Reign FC W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Seattle Reign FC W (odds2.35) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Reyn (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bay FC W - Seattle Reign FC W August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Seattle Reign FC W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.73 / X 3.34 / 2 2.31

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 33.3%
X 27.3%
2 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Bay FC W
#1418 ptsGP 165-3-816:21
Seattle Reign FC W
#1020 ptsGP 156-2-717:19
Best price across 11 books
1 2.85 Dafabet
X 3.40 Bet365
2 2.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Bay FC W
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.91 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.33 xGA 1.53 Corners 5.1
Seattle Reign FC W
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.01 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.04 xGA 1.61 Corners 3.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Bay FC W
Rating 1408 xG 1.10 Win 32%
Seattle Reign FC W
Rating 1501 xG 1.27 Win 40%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Bay FC W 2 : 2 Seattle Reign FC W
11.20
X5.70
211.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:45 UTC
Market 1 33.3% @ 2.73 / X 27.3% @ 3.34 / 2 39.4% @ 2.31
Match center

Bay FC W - Seattle Reign FC W

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bay FC W 33.3% 28.2%
Draw 27.2% 19.5% draw risk
Seattle Reign FC W 39.5% 52.3% market and model agree
xG - 1.28 : 1.13

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.2% / 19.5% / 52.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,523 / 1,754 Bay FC (Zh) / OL Reign (w)
RD 182 / 198 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,158-1,887 / 1,359-2,149 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.31 market consensus · value +20.8% · model 52.3%
X 3.34 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.73 market consensus · no value · model 28.2%
Handicap
2 0 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.64 61.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.34 29.9%
X 2.15 46.5%
2.89 34.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.72 58.1%
Under 1 2.00 50.0%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
Match center
Bay FC W
L L W W D
30.07 00:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 0:1 Gotem (Zh)
24.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 0:1 Khyuston Desh (Zh)
18.07 18:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 3:0 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
10.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 2:0 Reysing Luisvill (Zh)
05.07 14:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Bay FC W 2:2 Boston Legacy (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Seattle Reign FC W
W D W L
26.07 19:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 2:0 San Diego Wave (Zh)
18.07 14:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 0:0 Gotem (Zh)
12.07 18:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 2:0 Portlend (Zh)
04.07 21:30 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Seattle Reign FC W 1:3 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points